Abstract

ABSTRACT The rapid growth of US LNG exports is promoted by the US government in Europe as a viable substitute for Russian gas. But is American LNG actually the “game-changer” that some officials claim it to be? At one level it is not, simply because LNG is more expensive than Russian gas and plays a relatively small role in the overall energy mixture used in Europe. Taking a broader perspective, however, American LNG acts as an underwriter of European energy security and deprives the Russian government of the ability to use Europe’s energy dependence to Russia’s political advantage; any attempt by Russia to cut supply or raise prices would be neutralized by increased LNG imports. A combination of EU -level planning, national government measures, and American LNG export essentially force Russia to behave as a normal commercial partner.

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