Take Me Home, Country Roads: Historical Diasporas and Contemporary FDI Patterns

This paper investigates the impact of real effective exchange rates (REER), both in terms of levels and volatility, on foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows for a panel of 35 Indian sub-national economies over the period 2000-2013. In light of the asymmetric distribution of FDI inflows within India, we focus on examining the nexus between FDI inflows at the sub-national level and India’s competitiveness captured by REER. Our empirical analysis reveals that movements in REER have a significant and negative impact on FDI inflows, while REER volatility is found to be inducing FDI. Our results are suggestive that FDI inflows into India are largely domestic market oriented in nature. Purpose: In light of the asymmetric distribution of FDI inflows within India, we focus on examining the nexus between foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows at the sub-national level and India’s competitiveness captured by real effective exchange rates (REER). This paper investigates the impact of REER, both in terms of levels and volatility, on FDI inflows to 35 Indian sub-national economies over the period 2000-2013. Research Methodology: To examine the impact of REER on FDI inflows, we compile a panel dataset for 35 sub-national economies covering the time period 2000 to 2013. We employ panel fixed effects models to explore our relationship of interest between REER and FDI, controlling for other characteristics specific to a sub-national economy.Findings: Our empirical analysis reveals that movements in REER have a significant and negative impact on FDI inflows, while REER volatility is found to be inducing FDI. Our results are suggestive that FDI inflows into India are largely domestic market-oriented in nature. Originality/Value: Considering that India’s FDI inflows exhibit significant concentration patterns among selected regions, we exploit this heterogeneity at the sub-national level to empirically understand the determinants of FDI, with a particular focus on cost competitiveness as captured by REER. The extant literature has not explicitly focused on testing the impact of REER both in terms of its levels and volatility on FDI inflows to India at the sub-national level, especially not at the sub-national level. While admittedly the exchange rate varies only at the national level, the value-addition comes from understanding its interaction with state-varying macroeconomic indicators.

Essays on China's Outward Foreign Direct Investment

Empirical relationship between Foreign Direct Investment and Economic Variables of Pakistan

The surge in outward foreign direct investment (OFDI) flows from emerging economies has made it imperative to examine the impact of such flows on home country. An important area of enquiry is how the increased OFDI flows affect home country trade position- in terms of its causal relationship with both exports and imports. While the early theoretical literature posits OFDI and trade as substitutes, relatively later studies have argued that depending on the nature (vertical or horizontal FDI) and sector of investment, OFDI and trade could be complementary. India is not only the fastest growing emerging market but has recently become an important source of investment from emerging markets. The phenomenal rise in outward investment coupled with the importance of trade in India's economic structure raises concern about the impact of former on the latter. In this context, this study examines the impact of India's OFDI flows during 1997 to 2017 on its imports and exports. Using relatively recent time series econometric techniques that accounts for the existence of structural breaks in the underlying data, the results suggest while there does not exist longrun relationship between India's OFDI flows and its trade (exports and imports), OFDI flows granger causes India's imports in the short run. The observed short- run causality is found to be in line with the growing importance of resource seeking FDI from India and partially points out towards the role of India's involvement in the regional production networks. Managerial and policy implications are discussed.

In 2010 the Latin American and Caribbean region showed great resilience to the international financial crisis and became the world region with the fastest-growing flows of both inward and outward foreign direct investment (FDI). FDI inflows were up by 40% with respect to 2009 and stood at a total of US$ 113 billion. Outflows increased almost fourfold to reach an all-time high of US$ 43 billion, reflecting the strong growth of trans-Latin firms. The upswing in FDI in the region has occurred in a context in which developing countries in general have taken on a greater share in both inward and outward FDI flows. This briefing paper is divided into five sections. The first offers a regional overview of FDI in 2010. The second examines FDI trends in Central America, Panama and the Dominican Republic. The third describes the presence China is beginning to build up as an investor in the region. Lastly, the fourth and fifth sections analyse the main foreign investments and business strategies in the telecommunications and software sectors, respectively.

In this study, the long termed effects of foreign direct (capital) investments inflows and outflows on the economic growth of the economies of developed G-7 countries where the capital mobility is intense and selected emerging market economies (Brazil, China, India, Mexico, Russia, South Africa and Turkey (EME-7)) are empirically analyzed for the period of 1994-2015 within the scope of the new generation panel data methodology. From this aspect, it is also aimed to economically analyze whether the foreign direct investments inflows and outflows in countries of G-7 and EME-7 have an effect on the economic growth as is seen in the theoretical framework by being considered the capital exporter/importer positions of these countries. Determined in consequence of the study that foreign direct investments inflows/outflows in the countries of G-7 have a positive and statistically significant effect on economic growth in the long term. Also determined that the foreign direct investments inflows have a positive and statistically significant effect on economic growth in countries of EME-7; while the foreign direct investments outflows have not the same effect on the economic growth. These results which are consonant with the theoretical and empirical literature show that just both foreign direct investments inflows and outflows have a significant role in economic growth on G-7 countries; just foreign direct investments inflows have an important role in economic growth on EME-7 countries at the same time.

In Central and Eastern Europe, outward foreign direct investment (FDI) has not yet become as a prominent factor in the region’s reintegration into the world economy as trade liberalisation used to be in the early 1990s or inward foreign direct investment is currently. In the terminology of the investment–development path, with the notable exception of the Russian Federation, the region is in stage 2, whereby inward flows are still growing faster than outward flows. This article argues that a combination of the latecomer status of the region’s transnational corporations and the transition shock can explain most of that laggard situation. It hypothesises that the enlargement of the European Union (EU) would give a major push to the outward foreign direct investment flows of Central and Eastern Europe (CEE), on condition that adequate government policies to promote those investments are put in place. The impact on the investment–development path, however, is uncertain, because accession to the EU is often accompanied by a surge in foreign direct investment inflows, too. Finally, the article also looks at the options available to deal with the specific problems of the Russian Federation in relation to capital flight, including ways of regularisation and potential return to the home economy.

Regional analysis of foreign direct investment in Lithuania

Environmental regulation and outward foreign direct investment: Evidence from China

The purpose of this study is to empirically examine the dynamic impact of the stock of foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows on the aggregate income of The Gambia. In order to find the dynamic nexus, the ARDL model was used to capture both short-run and the long-run impact of FDI inflows. The result shows that FDI has a negative impact on income in the short-run. The bounds testing for cointegration showed that there is a long-run level relationship between income and FDI inflows, and the impact of FDI inflows on income in the long-run is positive. In order to examine the possible reason why FDI inflows have a different impact in the short-run and the long-run, the study empirically investigates how the interaction of FDI inflows and domestic investment affects income. The results showed that in the short-run FDI inflows crowded-out domestic investment and this led to FDI inflows to have a negative impact on income in the short-run. Moreover, the results also showed that in the long-run the FDI inflows complemented domestic investment and this led to FDI inflows to have a positive impact on aggregate income in the long-run. The conclusion drawn from this study is that the net impact of FDI inflows on the aggregate income of The Gambia depends on the degree of complementarity and substitution between FDI inflows and domestic investment.

The traditional paradigm of foreign direct investment (FDI) suggests that FDI is undertaken principally to exploit some firm-specific advantage in a foreign country which provides a locational advantage to the investor. However, recent theoretical work suggests a model of FDI in which the motivation is not to exploit existing technological advantages in a foreign country, but to access such technology and transfer it from the host economy to the investing multinational corporation via spillover effects. This paper tests the technology sourcing versus technology exploiting hypotheses for a panel of sectoral FDI flows between the United States and major OECD nations over a 15 year period. The research makes use of Patel and Vega’s (Research Policy, 28, 145–55, 1999) taxonomy of sectors which are likely a priori to exhibit technology sourcing and exploiting behaviour respectively. While there is evidence that FDI flows into the United States are attracted to R&D intensive sectors, very little support is found for the technology sourcing hypothesis either for inward or outward FDI flows. The results suggest that, in aggregate, firm-specific ‘ownership’ effects remain powerful determinants of FDI flows.

This research extends Dunning’s investment development path theory to assess the long-run relationship among foreign direct investment (FDI) inflow, outflow and domestic investment (DI) for 32 emerging market economies (EMEs) based on 17 years data from 1996 to 2012. Breitung Panel unit root test has been used to identify the presence of unit root in the panel data. Since the FDI flows and domestic investments were found to be non-stationary at they were first differenced for converting to stationary variables. Based on Pedroni’s panel cointegration test a long-run relationship among DI, FDI inflow, and FDI outflow was observed indicating that the variables were integrated of order one. Further panel VECM was carried out to assess the causality and it was observed that a joint long-run causality was present both from FDI inflow and outflow towards DI. This essentially indicates that the FDI flows to EMEs will augment domestic capital formation. Therefore policy makers from the EMEs instead of focusing on standalone increase in FDI inflow should focus on both FDI inflow and outflow. However, in the short-run, DI was caused only by FDI inflow, and FDI outflow did not have any causal impact on DI. Further applying fully modified OLS (FMOLS) and dynamic OLS (DOLS) it was observed that FDI inflow and FDI outflow have crowding-in effects on DI. Hence, it can be concluded that for EMEs FDI outflow is also equally important in addition to FDI inflow to augment DI. The impact of 2008 crisis was also examined in the light of FDI outflows and inflows from EMEs. Results based on FMOLS and DOLS indicate that 2008 crisis negatively affected the FDI inflow but the effect on outflows was not statistically significant. These results advocate for a protection mechanism from the financial crises for the EMEs as the FDI inflow declined during the period. Further incentivizing the domestic firms investing abroad for technologies and synergies as FDI outflow also enhances growth.

I. Introduction Foreign direct investment (FDI) has long been exercised by multinational enterprises (MNEs) from industrialized countries. However, during the 1980s and 1990s some developing countries, especially the newly industrialized economies (NIEs) in East Asia, rapidly emerged as one of the major sources of world FDI flows (Suh and Seo 1997; UNCTAD 1995; Petri 1995). During this same period, annual flows of Korean outward FDI increased at an unprecedented pace. For example, Korea's total approved outward FDI, in nominal terms, increased by about 24-fold between 1985 and 2003: from US$219 million in 1985 to US$5,437 million in 2003. Manufacturing was the leading sector, representing almost 53 per cent of the total outward Korean FDI during this period. The trading sector was the next largest sector, with 24 per cent of the total amount (Korea Export-Import Bank 2003). In terms of factor intensity, labour-intensive manufacturing industries mostly relocated to developing countries, particularly ASEAN countries and China, while most Korean FDI conducted in industrialized countries was capital-intensive manufacturing (Tcha 1998). Such a rapid increase in outward FDI has raised some concern among policy-makers and researchers, primarily about the impact of outward FDI on the domestic economy, and potential welfare implications. (1) One major impact of outward FDI is the trade effect, particularly on the exports of a home country. As for the relationship between FDI and trade, theoretical arguments have been made that the two complement or substitute each other. Earlier theoretical efforts, like Mundell (1957), highlight the trade-substituting nature of FDI, and more recent efforts tend to favour FDI being trade-complementing (Markusen 1983, 1984; Helpman 1984, 1985; Helpman and Krugman 1985; Kojima, 1978, 1991 among others). As Petri (1995) and Pfaffermayr (1996) argue, however, the relationship is not predictable because the trade impact of FDI can be influenced by a range of factors, such as firm strategies, motivations for FDI, and government policies. Therefore, the relationship between FDI and trade remains a subject requiting empirical investigation. There is a mixture of results from empirical studies of FDI on home country exports. Some, like Mundell (1957) and Svensson (1996), found FDI had a negative effect on home country exports. Others found outward FDI had a positive effect on exports: Lipsey and Weiss (1981), Helpman (1984), Grossman and Helpman (1989), Lin (1995), Pfaffermayr (1996), Lim and Moon (2001), KOTRA (1997), Hejazi and Safarian (2001). More recently, Lewer and Terry (2003) demonstrate in their evaluation of the impact on trade stemming from capital account liberalization, that foreign capital in general--and FDI--have strong trade creating effects. In this paper, we study the trade impact of Korean outward FDI in four major ASEAN countries. Lim and Moon (2001) have shown the trade impact of FDI using Korean firm-level information. However, their study tends to show foreign affiliates' inclination to export back to the home country, as do other firm-level studies, rather than the trade-creating or displacing effects of FDI. This arises because they did not control for other trade-affecting factors, such as income and prices. Furthermore, firm-level studies ignore the possibility that foreign affiliates in a host country may drive out local firms in an export-oriented industry. In this case, a foreign affiliate's exports may not necessarily be complementing a home country's exports. Therefore, other trade-related variables need to be appropriately controlled in this type of analysis. In the next section, we discuss the theoretical background as to how FDI and trade are potentially related. In section III, a simple econometric model is constructed to empirically investigate the relationship between FDI and trade. The model is set to consider the impact of outward FDI on exports and imports separately, while taking into account country-specific fixed effects. …

In 2010, the Latin American and Caribbean region showed great resilience to the international financial crisis and became the world region with the fastest-growing flows of both inward and outward foreign direct investment (FDI). The upswing in FDI in the region has occurred in a context in which developing countries in general have taken on a greater share in both inward and outward FDI flows. This briefing paper is divided into five sections. The first offers a regional overview of FDI in 2010. The second examines FDI trends in Central America, Panama and the Dominican Republic. The third describes the presence China is beginning to build up as an investor in the region. Lastly, the fourth and fifth sections analyze the main foreign investments and business strategies in the telecommunications and software sectors, respectively.

Most developing countries rely heavily on foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows for economic growth and stability. However, political risk and the foreign exchange rate could direly affect FDI inflows as investors seek stable markets. The most recent example of political risk interactions, the exchange rate and FDI has been the trade war between the United States (US) and China, where the US increased tariffs on Chinese goods worth over $16 billion. A crucial debate is needed regarding the importance of FDI inflows in developing countries, such as South Africa. FDI is observed as a crucial component in providing resources, and it is critical in facilitating globalisation and providing financial assistance to countries in need, especially developing countries such as South Africa. This study aimed to examine the long- and short-run effects of political risk ratings and foreign exchange rate fluctuations on FDI inflows in South Africa. The literature review provided evidence of long- and short-term relationships between political risk ratings, the real effective exchange rate, and the GDP's balancing variable on the dependent FDI inflows. The study utilised both the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) and non-linear autoregressive distributed lag (NARDL) models to analyse quarterly data from 1995 to 2020. The Variables included in the study were political risk, the real effective exchange rate, FDI inflows and GDP. The study revealed that political risk ratings and the real effective exchange rate have long-run effects on FDI inflows. The real effective exchange rate has an asymmetric long-run effect. It was also found that FDI inflows respond more to real effective exchange depreciations than real effective exchange rate appreciations, implying that the exchange rate is an important economic factor in explaining the investment inflows. Consequently, the study recommends that policymakers deploy responsive policy measures to deal with currency fluctuations and political instability. In South Africa, the negative effect of political risk affects FDI and impacts the overall country risk ratings and the country's ability to borrow. The study also recommends that further research be employed to understand other impacts on FDI inflows and the interaction of political risk and the real effective exchange rate on other critical economic factors.