Abstract
Evidence to define target ranges for tacrolimus (Tac) and mycophenolic acid (MPA) exposure after the first year of kidney transplantation is limited. We investigated the association of measurements at 1 year and repeated measurements of real-world Tac-trough levels (C0 ) and abbreviated area under the curve from zero to 12 hours (AUC0-12h ) of Tac and MPA with biopsy-proven acute rejection (BPAR) between years 1 and 3 post-transplant in 968 kidney transplant recipients (KTRs). Thirty-five (3.6%) out of 968 KTRs experienced BPAR. Both Tac-AUC0-12h (hazard ratio (HR): 0.39, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.30-0.50, P < 0.001), Tac-C0 (HR: 0.46, 95% CI: 0.38-0.57, P < 0.001) and MPA-AUC0-12h at 1 year (HR: 0.80, 95% CI: 0.68-0.94, P = 0.006), as well as repeated measurements of Tac-C0 (HR: 0.70, 95% credibility interval (CrI): 0.61-0.82, P < 0.001), and of MPA-AUC0-12h (HR: 0.75, 95% CrI: 0.62-0.93, P < 0.001) were associated with BPAR. In our population, the recommended target range for Tac-AUC0-12h at 1 year would be 75-95 ng*hour/mL and a Tac-C0 5-7 ng/mL. The Tac-AUC0-12h predicted BPAR better than Tac-C0 and identified KTRs with over- or underexposure despite supposedly adequate Tac-C0 . We did not find evidence to recommend another target than the consensus range of 30-60 mg*hour/L for MPA-AUC0-12h after the first year of transplantation. To our knowledge, this is a first study on the simultaneous exposure of Tac and MPA at year 1 and subsequent BPAR up to year 3, which may help define the therapeutic target window for the longer term.
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