Survival analysis of time to develop cardiovascular complications and its predictors among hypertensive patients treated in the Ayder Comprehensive Specialized Hospital, Ethiopia: a retrospective cohort study (RCD code: VIII)

BackgroundGlobally, stroke appears as a major cause of preventable deaths and disabilities. In Ethiopia, the intra-hospital mortality of stroke is significant; however, epidemiologic data are scarce whether there is a difference in the overall survival time between hypertensive and non-hypertensive adult stroke patients admitted in specialized hospitals. This study was intended to determine the survival of stroke patients according to their hypertension status admitted in Ayder Comprehensive Specialized Hospital, Northern Ethiopia from March 1, 2012, to February 28, 2019.Methods and FindingsA hospital-based retrospective cohort study was conducted among all cohorts of confirmed first-ever stroke patients admitted in Ayder Comprehensive Specialized Hospital, Northern Ethiopia. Kaplan–Meier survival analysis was applied to estimate the survival probability of hypertensive and non-hypertensive first-ever stroke patients. Cox proportional hazards regression model was used to determine the adjusted hazard ratio of death for each main baseline predictor variable with 95% CI, and P-value <0.05 was used to declare statistical significance. The assumptions of the Cox proportional hazards regression model assessed by the global test, Schoenfeld residuals. There were 503 (323 were hypertensive, 180 Non-hypertensive) confirmed first, ever adult stroke patients, the overall median age of the patients was 65 years, IQR (53–75) years. Seventy-five (14.9%) of them were dead, with a median survival time of 48 days and 428 (85.1%) of them were censored. At any particular point in time, the hazard of death among hypertensive patients was two times higher than non-hypertensive patients, but this was not found to be a statistically significant (adjusted HR=2.13: 95% CI 0.66–6.81). Glasgow Coma Scale 3–8 at admission (adjusted HR=10.12; 95% CI 2.58–40.68), presence of stroke complications (adjusted HR=7.23; 95% CI 1.86–28.26) and borderline high total cholesterol level (adjusted HR=3.57; 95% CI 1.15–11.1) were the only independent predictors of intra-hospital patient mortality.ConclusionThe overall survival time difference between hypertensive and non-hypertensive first-ever adult stroke patients was not statistically significant. Early identification and treatment of stroke complications, co-morbidities along strict follow-up of comatose patients may improve the intra-hospital survival of stroke patients, and we also recommend community-based studies using a large sample size.

Globally, the burden of stroke is increasing at an alarming rate. Factors associated with stroke among hypertensive patients are not consistent across different studies and there are limited studies particularly to hypertensive stroke in the particular setting. This study aimed to assess factors associated with stroke among patients with hypertension in Ayder Comprehensive Specialized Hospital, Mekelle, Tigray, Ethiopia, in 2018. Hospital-based case-control study was conducted from February to April 2018. Cases were adult hypertensive patients with stroke and controls were adult hypertensive patients without a stroke. Cases and controls were identified from the patient's card review. Using a systematic random sampling technique 89 cases and 356 controls were included in this study. Record review, physical measurement, and interview techniques were used to collect data. Data was entered and analyzed by using SPSS version 23. Variables with a p-value of less than 0.25 in the bivariate logistic regression were selected for multivariable logistic regression. The adjusted odds ratio and 95% confidence interval were used to determine the association. P-value <0.05 was used to declare statistical significance. The mean age of cases and controls were 56.3 years (SD±13.53) and 51.9 years (SD±12.67) respectively. Lost to follow-up (AOR = 2.474, 95%CI: 1.368-4.929), alcohol drinking (AOR = 2.440, 95%CI: 1.291-4.613), use of excessive salt in diet (AOR = 3.249, 95%CI: (1.544-6.837), medication non-adherence (AOR = 3.967, 95%CI: 2.256-6.973), uncontrolled systolic blood pressure, (AOR = 3.196, 95%CI: 1.60-6.382), uncontrolled diastolic blood pressure (AOR = 2.204, 95%CI: 1.130-4.297) and high cholesterol level (AOR = 2.413, 95%CI: 1.319-4.414) were found to be significant factors. Lost to follow-up, alcohol drinking, uses of excessive salt in diet, medication non-adherence, and uncontrolled systolic and diastolic blood pressure were associated with stroke. Health education on lifestyle practices and hypertension-related complications in each follow-up visit is very essential for improving the primary stroke prevention.

BackgroundGlobally, the burden of stroke is increasing at an alarming rate. Factors associated with stroke among hypertensive patients are not consistent across different studies and there are limited studies particularly to hypertensive stroke in the particular setting. This study aimed to assess factors associated with stroke among patients with hypertension in Ayder Comprehensive Specialized Hospital, Mekelle, Tigray, Ethiopia, in 2018.MethodsHospital-based case-control study was conducted from February to April 2018. Cases were adult hypertensive patients with stroke and controls were adult hypertensive patients without a stroke. Cases and controls were identified from the patient’s card review. Using a systematic random sampling technique 89 cases and 356 controls were included in this study. Record review, physical measurement, and interview techniques were used to collect data. Data was entered and analyzed by using SPSS version 23. Variables with a p-value of less than 0.25 in the bivariate logistic regression were selected for multivariable logistic regression. The adjusted odds ratio and 95% confidence interval were used to determine the association. P-value <0.05 was used to declare statistical significance.ResultsThe mean age of cases and controls were 56.3 years (SD±13.53) and 51.9 years (SD±12.67) respectively. Lost to follow-up (AOR = 2.474, 95%CI: 1.368–4.929), alcohol drinking (AOR = 2.440, 95%CI: 1.291–4.613), use of excessive salt in diet (AOR = 3.249, 95%CI: (1.544–6.837), medication non-adherence (AOR = 3.967, 95%CI: 2.256–6.973), uncontrolled systolic blood pressure, (AOR = 3.196, 95%CI: 1.60–6.382), uncontrolled diastolic blood pressure (AOR = 2.204, 95%CI: 1.130–4.297) and high cholesterol level (AOR = 2.413, 95%CI: 1.319–4.414) were found to be significant factors.ConclusionLost to follow-up, alcohol drinking, uses of excessive salt in diet, medication non-adherence, and uncontrolled systolic and diastolic blood pressure were associated with stroke. Health education on lifestyle practices and hypertension-related complications in each follow-up visit is very essential for improving the primary stroke prevention.

BackgroundDespite the availability and improvement in diagnostic and therapeutic interventions with proven benefits in reducing cardiovascular morbidity and mortality, control rates of hypertension remain poor and grossly inadequate. Around one billion individuals are living with uncontrolled hypertension globally. Uncontrolled hypertension among hypertensive patients on treatment in Ethiopia ranges from 11.4 to 69.9%. Therefore, the aim of this study was to determine the magnitude and associated factors of uncontrolled hypertension among hypertensive patients in Ayder comprehensive specialized hospital, Tigray, Ethiopia 2018.Methods and materialsHospital-based cross-sectional study design was conducted from February 16–April 30/2018. Simple random sampling method was used to select 320 participants. Data was collected using interviewer administered standard structured questionnaire. Self-care practice measuring tool was adopted from hypertension self-care activity level effects (H-scale). Data was entered to and cleaned by Epi Info version 7 and it was exported to SPSS version 22 for analysis. Binary logistic regression model (AOR, 95% CI and p-value < 0.05) was used to determine the predictors of uncontrolled hypertension.ResultFrom the total respondents, 164 (51.2%) were females. The mean age of the respondents was 53.83 + 14.52 years. Prevalence of uncontrolled hypertension was found 52.5%. Overweight (AOR = 4.527, 95% CI: 2.247–9.123), co-morbidity (AOR = 2.112, 95% CI: 1.218–3.662), non-adherence to anti-hypertensive medication (AOR = 2.062, 95% CI: 1.030–4.129), non-adherence to physical activity (AOR = 1.931, 95% CI: 1.074–3.470) and non-adherence to alcohol abstinence (AOR = 2.093, 95% CI: 1.109–3.948) are independent predictors of uncontrolled hypertension.Conclusionthe prevalence of uncontrolled hypertension is high. Patients’ adherence to antihypertensive medication, physical exercise and alcohol abstinence should be maximized. Weight reduction and early identification and management of co-morbidities are also crucial.

Background Cardiovascular disease complication is the timely issue throughout the world. Objective of the study The aim of this study is to analysis the major risk factors which lead to cardiovascular disease complication on hypertensive patients. Method A retrospective cohort study with One hundred and fifty-three hypertensive patients have been taken from a hospital record at Felege Hiwot Referral Hospital, Bahir Dar, Ethiopia, during 2012 to 2016. Kaplan-Meier and Cox proportional hazard models were applied. Result From long rank test result, Patients who were live in baseline cardiovascular disease significantly different from patients who hadn’t complication for a shorter cardiovascular disease complication time. From the Cox regression result, the chance of being infected with cardiovascular complication rise through 3.7%, when a single year increment of age (p value=0.0486). The possibility of a patient to develop cardiovascular disease who live in rural were 0.377 times lower than a patient who live in urban (P value=0.0275). The risk of developing cardiovascular complication in a short period of time was 8% and 6% depending on 10 MmHg increment of systolic and diastolic blood pressure respectively. Patients who had baseline complication were found to be associated with shorter survival time within their pain, that hazard ratio was 4.684 times than that of a patient who had not baseline complication(P value=0.0004). Conclusion From Cox proportional hazard model, there were five major factors that affect the cardiovascular disease complication time of hypertension patient those are; residence, baseline cardiovascular complication status, baseline diastolic blood pressure, baseline systolic blood pressure and baseline age at 5% significant level.

Limited data exist concerning how the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has affected surgical care in low-resource settings. We sought to describe associations between the COVID-19 pandemic and surgical care and outcomes at 2 tertiary hospitals in Ethiopia. We conducted a retrospective observational cohort study analyzing perioperative data collected electronically from Ayder Comprehensive Specialized Hospital (ACSH) in Mekelle, Ethiopia, and Tibebe Ghion Specialized Hospital (TGSH) in Bahir Dar, Ethiopia. We categorized COVID-19 exposure as time periods: "phase 0" before the pandemic (November 1-December 31, 2019, at ACSH and August 1-September 30, 2019, at TGSH), "phase 1" starting when elective surgeries were canceled (April 1-August 3, 2020, at ACSH and March 28-April 12, 2020, at TGSH), and "phase 2" starting when elective surgeries resumed (August 4-August 31, 2020, at ACSH and April 13-August 31, 2020, at TGSH). Outcomes included 28-day perioperative mortality, case volume, and patient district of origin. Incidence rates of case volume and patient district of origin (outside district yes or no) were modeled with segmented Poisson regression and logistic regression, respectively. Association of the exposure with 28-day mortality was assessed using logistic regression models, adjusting for confounders. Data from 3231 surgeries were captured. There was a decrease in case volume compared to phase 0, with adjusted incidence rate ratio (IRR) of 0.73 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.66-0.81) in phase 1 and 0.90 (95% CI, 0.83-0.97) in phase 2. Compared to phase 0, there were more patients from an outside district during phase 1 lockdown at ACSH (adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 1.63 [95% CI, 1.24-2.15]) and fewer patients from outside districts at TGSH (aOR, 0.44 [95% CI, 0.21-0.87]). The observed 28-day mortality rates for phases 0, 1, and 2 were 1.8% (95% CI, 1.1-2.8), 3.7% (95% CI, 2.3-5.8), and 2.9% (95% CI, 2.1-3.9), respectively. A confounder-adjusted logistic regression model did not show a significant increase in 28-day perioperative mortality during phases 1 and 2 compared to phase 0, with aOR 1.36 (95% CI, 0.62-2.98) and 1.54 (95% CI, 0.80-2.95), respectively. Analysis at 2 low-resource referral hospitals in Ethiopia during the COVID-19 pandemic showed a reduction in surgical case volume during and after lockdown. At ACSH, more patients were from outside districts during lockdown where the opposite was true at TGSH. These findings suggest that during the pandemic patients may experience delays in seeking or obtaining surgical care. However, for patients who underwent surgery, prepandemic and postpandemic perioperative mortalities did not show significant difference. These results may inform surgical plans during future public health crises.

ObjectivesTo assess self-care practices and associated factors among hypertensive patients in Ayder Comprehensive Specialized Hospital 2017/2018.ResultGood self-care practice was found only among 20.3% of respondents. Adherence to not smoking, anti-hypertensive medication, alcohol abstinence, dietary management, physical exercise and weight management was found to be 99.1%, 74.10%, 67.20%, 63.10%, 49.4% and 40.6% respectively. Sex (AOR = 2.254, 95% CI 1.092–4.653), age (AOR = 3.265, 95% CI 1.030–10.355), educational status (AOR = 4.205, 95% CI 1.304–13.559), disease duration (AOR = 3.124, 95% CI 1.204–8.105), BP status (AOR = 2.728, 95% CI 1.256–5.926) and knowledge (AOR = 6.196, 95% CI 2.906–13.214) showed significant statistical association with self-care practice.

Drug-therapy problems(DTPs) among hypertensive patients can result in patient's morbidity and mortality. The main aim of this study was to assess drug therapy problem and associated factors among hypertensive patients. A hospital based cross sectional study was conducted. The data was collected from patients' medical charts and through interview. Drug therapy problem was categorized according to Cipolle methods of DTP classification. Thedata was analyzed using the Statistical Package for the Social Sciences (SPSS), version 21. A total of 241 patients were studied. The mean number of antihypertensive medications prescribed were 1.41±0.53. A total of 357 drug therapy problems(DTPs) were identified. From the patients studied,134(55.6%) had at least one evidence of drug therapy problem. Non adherence was the most commonly identified drug therapy problem occurred in (143(59.3%)) patients. Substance use (AOR=0.445, 95% CI= 0.227-0.870, p=0.018) and comorbidity (AOR= 2.099, 95% CI= 1.192-3.694, p=0.010) werethe predictors of DTP. More than half of the participants had evidence of onset drug therapy problem. Thus efforts that could boost antihypertensive compliance and minimizes substance use should be adopted to reduce patients's drug therapy problems.

All major guidelines for antihypertensive therapy recommend weight loss. Thus dietary interventions that aim to reduce body weight might be a useful intervention to reduce blood pressure and adverse cardiovascular events associated with hypertension. Primary objectivesTo assess the long-term effects of weight-reducing diets in hypertensive patients on-all cause mortality -cardiovascular morbidity -adverse events (including total serious adverse events, withdrawal due to adverse events and total non-serious adverse events)Secondary objectivesTo assess the long-term effects of weight-reducing diets in hypertensive patients on-change from baseline in systolic blood pressure -change from baseline in diastolic blood pressure -body weight reduction Studies were obtained from computerised searches of Ovid MEDLINE, EMBASE, CENTRAL and from searches in reference lists and systematic reviews. Randomised controlled trials (RCT) in adult hypertensive patients were included if they had a study duration of at least 24 weeks and compared weight reducing dietary interventions to no dietary intervention in adult patients with primary hypertension. Two authors independently assessed risk of bias and extracted data. Studies were pooled using fixed-effect meta-analysis. In case of moderate or larger heterogeneity as measured by Higgins I(2), a random effects model was used. Eight studies involving a total of 2100 participants with high blood pressure and a mean age of 45 to 66 years met our inclusion criteria. Mean treatment duration was 6 to 36 months. No study included mortality as a pre-defined outcome. One RCT evaluated the effects of dietary weight loss on a combined endpoint, consisting of the necessity of reinstating antihypertensive therapy and severe cardiovascular complications. In this RCT weight reducing diet lowered the endpoint, hazard ratio 0.70 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.57 to 0.87) compared to no diet. None of the studies evaluated adverse events as designated in our protocol. Blood pressure was reduced in patients assigned to weight loss diets as compared to controls: systolic blood pressure (SBP): weighted mean difference (WMD): -4.5 mm Hg; 95% CI, -7.2 to -1.8 mm Hg (3 of 8 studies included in analysis), and diastolic blood pressure (DBP): WMD -3.2 mm Hg; 95% CI, -4.8 to -1.5 mm Hg (3 of 8 studies included in analysis). Patients' body weight was also reduced in dietary weight loss groups as compared to controls, WMD of -4.0 kg (95% CI: -4.8 to -3.2) (5 of 8 studies included in analysis). Two studies used withdrawal of antihypertensive medication as their primary outcome. Even though this was not considered a relevant outcome for this review, the results of these studies strengthen the finding of reduction of blood pressure by dietary weight loss interventions. In patients with primary hypertension, weight loss diets reduced body weight and blood pressure, however the magnitude of the effects are uncertain as a result of the small number of patients and studies that could be included in the analyses. It is not known whether weight loss reduces mortality and morbidity. No useful information on adverse effects was reported in the relevant trials.

BackgroundThe rate of blood pressure (BP) control in adult hypertensive patients is poor and the reasons for poor control of BP pressure are not fully understood globally. This study aimed to assess the rate and factors associated with BP control in adult hypertensive patients in Sudan.MethodsA hospital-based cross-sectional study was conducted in adult hypertensive Sudanese patients at Gadarif Hospital in eastern Sudan from November 2016 to March 2017. Information on sociodemographic characteristics of the participants, comorbidities, antihypertensive medication, and adherence to antihypertensive medication was gathered from patients using a questionnaire. Fasting cholesterol and triglyceride levels were measured.ResultsA total of 380 patients were enrolled. Of them, 234 (61.6%) were women. The mean (SD) age of the participants was 57.8 (11.1) years (range: 25–93 years). Over one-third (n = 147, 38.7%) of the participants were taking more than one antihypertensive medication. Approximately one-third (29.5%) of the participants were non-adherent to medication. The rate of BP control was 45.3%. In binary logistic regression analyses, age, sex, physical inactivity, adding salt to food, drinking coffee, body mass index, and the lipid profile were not associated with uncontrolled BP. However, non-adherence to medication was the main factor associated with uncontrolled BP (odds ratio = 5.29, 95% confidence interval = 3.16–8.83, P < 0.001).ConclusionsAlmost half of hypertensive patients in follow-up have uncontrolled BP, mainly due to non-adherence to medicine. We recommend further research on drug adherence to improve the rate of BP control in this setting (Gadarif) of the Sudan.

10 years observation study of low and moderate cardiovascular risk hypertensive patients: the impact of anxiety and depression level in development of cardiovascular complications

e19009 Background: Ibrutinb is approved for treatment of CLL. Hypertension (HTN) has been reported as a side effect of ibrutinib in 1-23% of patients. We previously reported HTN in CLL patients after 6 months of treatment with ibrutinib. In this study we describe the effects of long-term treatment with ibrutinib on blood pressure (BP). Methods: We performed a retrospective study, evaluating 150 CLL patients on ibrutinib-based clinical trials from 2010 to 2015. Patient demographics, co-morbidities, tobacco use, anti-HTN therapy were recorded. BP was evaluated at baseline and sequentially for up to 5 yrs. New onset HTN was defined as systolic BP (SBP) of ≥ 130 mmHg and/or diastolic BP (DBP) ≥ 80 on two separate visits with no prior HTN or anti-HTN therapy. An increase in baseline SBP by ≥10 and/or increase in DBP by ≥10 was considered significant regardless of the absolute BP. Univariate logistic regression analysis was performed to assess relationship of HTN risk factors and new HTN. Results: Patients’ median age was 65 yrs (68% male and 88% white). Median follow-up was 3 yrs. Pre-existing HTN was present in 44% of patients, 40% were on anti-HTN therapy prior to ibrutinib. New HTN developed in 65% of patients without prior diagnosis of HTN; 32 % of patients were started on anti-HTN therapy or received additional anti-HTN therapy. Of the patients who experienced an increase in BP, 33% experienced isolated systolic HTN. Median SBP was 130 at baseline, 132 at 1mo, 137 at 3mo, 135 at 6mo, 139 at 12mo, 138 at 3yrs, 144 at 5yrs (mean increase in SBP: 7.2, P &lt; 0.001). In patients whose SBP was &lt; 130 at baseline the median SBP was 119 at baseline, 122 at 1mo, 134 at 3mo, 130 at 6mo, 134 at 12mo, 135 at 3yrs and 141 at 5yrs (mean increase in SBP: 15.7, p &lt; 0.001). 74% of patients experienced and increase in SBP ≥10. New HTN on ibrutinib was not associated with: tobacco use, obesity, chronic kidney disease or obstructive sleep apnea (p &gt; 0.05). Conclusions: In this study we demonstrated a high rate of new HTN in patients on prolonged ibrutinib treatment. HTN in these patients is persistent, linear and independent of other risk factors. The increase in BP remained despite initiation of anti-HTN therapy. Additional studies are ongoing to define cardiovascular and renal complications associated with HTN in these patients.

Alcohol brief intervention in primary care: Blood pressure outcomes in hypertensive patients

Ambulatory Blood Pressure in Chronic Kidney Disease: Ready for Prime Time?

BackgroundLarge segments of the hypertensive population in the world are either untreated or inadequately treated. The incidence of heart failure and mortality from cardiovascular complications of hypertension is high among patients with uncontrolled blood pressure (BP). But BP control status of hypertensive patients has not been investigated in the study area. The study aimed to assess BP control status and determinant factors among adult hypertensive patients on antihypertensive medication attending outpatient follow-up at University of Gondar Referral Hospital, northwest Ethiopia.MethodsAn institution-based retrospective follow-up study was conducted from September 2015 to April 2016. Data were collected using a structured and pretested questionnaire adopted from the World Health Organization STEPwise approach. BP records of 6 months were used, and patients were classified as having controlled BP if their BP readings were <140/90 mmHg for all adults ≥18 years of age and <150/90 mmHg for adults aged ≥60 years. A generalized estimating equation was fitted, and the odds ratio with a 95% confidence level was used to determine the effect of covariates on BP control status.ResultsAmong 395 participants, 50.4% (95% CI: 45–55) of them controlled their BP in the last 6 months of the survey. Physical activity (adjusted odds ratio [AOR]=1.95, 95% CI: 1.41–2.68), duration on antihypertensive drugs of 2–4 years (AOR=1.70, 95% CI: 1.13–2.56) and 5 years or more (AOR=1.96, 95% CI: 1.32–2.92), and high adherence (AOR=2.18, 95% CI: 1.14–4.15) to antihypertensive drugs were positively associated with BP control, while salt intake (AOR=0.67, 95% CI: 0.49–0.93), overweight (AOR=0.50, 95% CI: 0.36–0.68), and obesity (AOR=0.56, 95% CI: 0.36–0.87) were inversely associated with BP control.ConclusionIn this study, only half of the hypertensive patients controlled their BP. Thus, health care providers need to be made aware about the importance of counseling hypertensive patients on drug adherence, moderate physical activity, and salt restriction to improve BP control.