Abstract

The rising temperature due to climate change leads to glaciers melting, causing increased sea levels and sea surface temperatures (SST). The rising SST and glacier melting elevate sea levels around the globe. The rising sea level is hazardous for the coastal regions worldwide, and therefore, calls for continuous monitoring to manage this threat. Pakistan, with a coastline of 990 km long, is among those countries most vulnerable to sea-level rise (SLR). Around 10% of Pakistan's population lives near the coastal zones, which are most marginalized and dependent on fishing and small agricultural farms. An SLR of a few millimeters per year is a serious threat to Pakistan's coastal areas that can, directly and indirectly, cause land loss of low-lying areas and destruction of infrastructures, human settlements, agriculture lands, and coastal ecosystems and other resources. The coastal communities of developing countries such as Pakistan, lacking essential resources, are the most disadvantageous and adversely affected people of the world due to these disasters. To overcome resources and capacity constraints, remote sensing (RS) and GIS techniques can employ to monitor coastal zones at larger extents. In this study, SLR and SST around the coast of Karachi have been investigated using multi-mission satellite radar altimetry (SRA) and MODIS Terra L3 SST product. The SRA is used to monitor sea levels using data from 1993 to 2018. Similarly, monthly SST data from 2000 to 2019 have been acquired to monitor SST trends. The rises in sea levels and temperatures were estimated as 3.9 mm/year and 0.0138 °C/year respectively. Different extrapolation techniques can further be utilized to predict the potential of SLR and SST in the study area for developing future coastal zone management plans.

Highlights

  • This study aims to explore the trend of sea-level rise (SLR) along the coast of Karachi, Pakistan using satellite radar altimetry (SRA) and tide gauge data

  • It is speculated that a 15.62 cm gradual rise of sea level in the 25 to 30 years will be observed at Karachi (Figure 7)

  • The comparison of the multi-mission altimetric dataset with tide gauge data for Karachi leads to exciting findings

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Summary

Introduction

This study aims to explore the trend of sea-level rise (SLR) along the coast of Karachi, Pakistan using satellite radar altimetry (SRA) and tide gauge data. SLR is expected to adversely affect developing countries like Pakistan lacking infrastructure and resources and having heavily populated vulnerable coastal communities. Though Pakistan is not a prime contributor to greenhouse gases but is already encountering the adverse impacts of changing climate. These effects include glaciers melting, long-term droughts, cyclones, flash floods, heatwaves, early summers, and warm winters. The rise in temperatures may cause SLR in Pakistan coastal areas due to heatwaves, glaciers melting, and seawater thermal expansions. A rise of 1.1mm/year has been observed in sea level at the Karachi coast [1]

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