Abstract

Deep learning algorithms’ powerful capabilities for extracting useful latent information give them the potential to outperform traditional financial models in solving problems of the stock market which is a complex system. In this paper, we explore the use of advanced deep learning algorithms for stock-index tracking. We partially replicate the CSI 300 Index by optimizing with respect to the difference between the returns of the tracking portfolio and the target index. We extract the complex nonlinear relationship between index constituents and select a subset of constituents to construct a dynamic tracking portfolio by six well-known auto-encoders (single-hidden-layer undercomplete, sparse, contractive, stacked, denoising, and variational auto-encoders) that have been widely used in contexts other than stock-index tracking. Empirical results show that the auto-encoder-based strategies perform better than conventional ones when the tracking portfolio is constructed with a small number of stocks. Furthermore, strategies based on auto-encoders capable of learning high-capacity encodings of the input, such as sparse and denoising auto-encoders, have even better tracking performance. Our findings offer evidence that deep learning algorithms with explicitly designed hierarchical architectures are suitable for index tracking problems.

Highlights

  • The market index system has evolved with the development of the securities market

  • We investigate the index tracking performance of deep learningbased tracking approaches

  • We use a variety of advanced auto-encoders: single-hidden-layer undercomplete, sparse, contractive, stacked, denoising, and variational autoencoders to extract the complex non-linear relationship between stocks in a complex stock market system and construct dynamic tracking portfolios with subsets of stocks

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Summary

Introduction

The market index system has evolved with the development of the securities market. Financial products such as index funds, index futures, and index options emerge endlessly, indicating that indexing investment has won the favor of investors, especially institutional investors. The choice of how to construct a tracking portfolio (i.e., of an index tracking method) is crucial for the management of index funds, for hedging or arbitrage through index financial derivatives such as index futures, and for maximizing the performance of index investment generally. The rapid development of computer technologies and the discipline of quantitative finance especially make it possible to propose more effective index tracking methods

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