Abstract

The article proposes a stochastic model of the training development process based on W-functions and the theory of closed flow graphs, which allows to take into account the probabilistic nature of the process, the possibility of various problems and risks, and to assess the probability of obtaining the desired result. The use of such modeling can increase the effectiveness of decision-making during the planning and implementation of training programs for employees.

Highlights

  • To better understand and evaluate the process of developing training programs, the method of stochastic modeling based on W-functions and the theory of closed flow graphs was used

  • Because it allows visualizing all stages of the project, take into account the probabilistic nature of the training development process, as well as the impact of various factors, identify possible problems and risks, estimate the duration of individual stages and the project as a whole, and assess the probability of obtaining the desired result [3]

  • The company should keep in mind that the development of a training program has a quite long duration and several iterations might be needed before the desired result will be obtained

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Summary

Introduction

Enterprises are faced with the constant need to develop or acquire new training programs, which are quite complex and multi-stage projects, the implementation of which is influenced by a large number of factors. It is needed to have a clear idea of the duration of such a project and the probability of obtaining the desired result.

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