Abstract

The propagation of cosmic rays through the heliosphere has been solved for more than half a century by stochastic methods based on Ito’s lemma. This work presents the estimation of statistical error of solution of Fokker–Planck equation by the 1D backward in time stochastic differential equations method. The error dependence on simulation statistics and energy is presented for different combinations of input parameters. The 1% precision criterion in mean value units of intensity standard deviation is defined as a function of solar wind velocity and diffusion coefficient value.

Highlights

  • The socalled solar modulation process begins when the galactic cosmic rays (GCRs) reach the heliosphere’s boundary, which presents a decrease of GCR intensity inside the heliosphere

  • Preliminary analysis of statistical error for 1D forward-in-time method we present in article [19]

  • We present an explanation of how statistical error in the backward stochastic differential equations (SDEs) method appears and show how someone with his own SDE code, could fastly estimate the dependence of statistical error of his own method on a number of injected particles

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Summary

Introduction

The socalled solar modulation process begins when the galactic cosmic rays (GCRs) reach the heliosphere’s boundary, which presents a decrease of GCR intensity inside the heliosphere (mostly for particles with energies less than 30 GeV). This article used the backward-in-time stochastic integration approach for all of the simulations In this approach, quasi-particle objects were injected at the registration boundary inside the heliosphere. We evaluate the solution of the Parker equation using the backward-intime stochastic integration approach. We focus on the estimation of statistical error for 1D backward- in-time stochastic differential equations method. Scaling study of the SDE approach application to cosmic ray modulations showing the influence of a different number of injected particles on realistic test problem is presented in [20].

Model Description
Forward-in-Time Stochastic Integrations
Backward-in-Time Stochastic Integrations
Findings
Conclusions
Full Text
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