不同SSP-RCP情景下中国生态系统服务价值评估

  • Abstract
  • Citations
  • Similar Papers
Abstract
Translate article icon Translate Article Star icon
Take notes icon Take Notes

定量评估生态系统服务价值是人类合理利用和管理生态系统的重要依据,未来气候情景下土地利用变化模拟及其对生态系统服务价值的影响评估对于区域生态系统服务管理、开展生态功能区划及减缓和适应气候变化等方面具有重要意义。基于最新IPCC共享社会经济路径(SSPs)和典型浓度路径(RCPs)的科学组合情景模拟得到的土地利用情景数据,对2020-2050年我国生态系统服务价值进行估算,并对2050年生态系统服务间的权衡与协同关系进行讨论,主要得到以下结论:生态系统服务价值(ESV)在2020-2050年表现为SSP1-RCP2.6 > SSP2-RCP4.5 > SSP3-RCP6.0,SSP1-RCP2.6情景下2020年ESV为12.39×10<sup>4</sup>亿元,2050年ESV为12.34×10<sup>4</sup>亿元;SSP2-RCP4.5情景下2020年ESV为12.17×10<sup>4</sup>亿元,2050年ESV为12.11×10<sup>4</sup>亿元;SSP3-RCP6.0情景下2020年ESV为12.02×10<sup>4</sup>亿元,2050年ESV为11.53×10<sup>4</sup>亿元。且SSP3-RCP6.0情景下ESV下降速率较快,SSP1-RCP2.6和SSP2-RCP4.5中ESV变化情况较为稳定平缓。调节服务所占据的比例最大(66.98%-68.46%),位居第二的是支持服务(18.81%-20.64%),次之是供给服务(8.64%-9.44%),所占比例最小的是文化服务(3.19%-3.36%)。三种情景下协同性表现为SSP1-RCP2.6 > SSP2-RCP4.5 > SSP3-RCP6.0,因此以协同性最为显著的SSP1-RCP2.6情景为例,探讨其未来(2050年)生态系统服务之间的权衡与协同关系,可知2050年SSP1-RCP2.6情景下生态系统服务两两组合而成的6组相关关系均以协同关系为主,这其中支持-文化服务的协同度最高,与之相应的是其权衡度最低。权衡度最高的是供给-支持服务。研究从生态系统服务与气候变化的关系、优化生态系统管理、提升生态系统服务能力等进行了探讨,以期能够为我国生态系统保护、生态功能区划制定和气候变化应对等方面提供科学依据和决策支持。

Note: looks like a niche area of research and we don't have enough papers to generate a graph.
CitationsShowing 7 of 7 papers
  • Research Article
  • 10.12677/sd.2025.155136
近二十年土地利用与生态系统服务的可视化 研究——基于CiteSpace的知识图谱分析
  • Jan 1, 2025
  • Sustainable Development
  • 怀亮 禹

近二十年土地利用与生态系统服务的可视化 研究——基于CiteSpace的知识图谱分析

  • Research Article
  • Cite Count Icon 1
  • 10.1016/j.ecolind.2024.112509
Spatial spillover effects of ecosystem service values in northeast China tiger and leopard national park based on spatial Durbin model
  • Aug 21, 2024
  • Ecological Indicators
  • Rina Wu + 2 more

Spatial spillover effects of ecosystem service values in northeast China tiger and leopard national park based on spatial Durbin model

  • Research Article
  • 10.12677/ije.2023.124050
环洞庭湖森林生态系统固碳释氧与土壤保育价值评估——以常德市为例
  • Jan 1, 2023
  • International Journal of Ecology
  • 洋 何

环洞庭湖森林生态系统固碳释氧与土壤保育价值评估——以常德市为例

  • Research Article
  • Cite Count Icon 11
  • 10.1016/j.gecco.2024.e02978
Spatio-temporal variations of habitat quality and its driving factors in the Yangtze River Delta region of China
  • May 5, 2024
  • Global Ecology and Conservation
  • Shulin Chen + 1 more

Spatio-temporal variations of habitat quality and its driving factors in the Yangtze River Delta region of China

  • Book Chapter
  • 10.1007/978-3-031-52901-6_123
Comprehensive Assessment Techniques for Terrestrial Ecosystems Under the Context of Global Change
  • Jan 1, 2024
  • Changming Li + 5 more

Comprehensive Assessment Techniques for Terrestrial Ecosystems Under the Context of Global Change

  • Open Access Icon
  • PDF Download Icon
  • Research Article
  • 10.4108/ew.5650
Dynamic Simulation and Tradeoffs and Synergies of Ecosystem Service Value in Metropolitan Suburbs Using the PLUS Model
  • Apr 5, 2024
  • EAI Endorsed Transactions on Energy Web
  • Chaoyu Zhang + 5 more

INTRODUCTION: Due to rapid economic development and continuous human activities, land use changes in the suburbs of metropolitan areas are drastic, which in turn affects the balance of ecosystem functions. Analyzing and predicting the ecological service value characteristics and trade-offs in rapidly urbanizing regions is of great significance for promoting high-quality regional development.AIM: This study attempts to reveal the trade-off and synergistic characteristics between the internal values of ecosystem services in suburban metropolitan areas under the influence of rapid urbanization.METHODS: Based on the patch-generating land use simulation (PLUS) model, simulated the land use changes in Xinzheng City under multiple scenarios in 2030, combined with methods such as equivalent factor method and spatial autocorrelation analysis,estimating, and predicting the ecosystem service value and its trade-off synergy relationship in Xinzheng City from 1980 to 2030.RESULTS: The value of ecosystem services in Xinzheng City continues to decline, hydrological regulation and soil conservation are the most important ecosystem service functions, under the scenario of farmland protection, ESV shows a stable growth trend. The synergistic relationship between various functions of ESV is significant, the Shizu Mountain National Forest Park, Shuangji River and other high agglomeration areas, as well as the Airport Economic Zone and Nanlonghu Town and other low agglomeration areas, all show a synergistic relationship, with only a portion of the southern side of the main urban area of Xinzheng showing a balancing relationship.CONCLUSIONS: Our findings can scientifically identify the environmental advantages of ecological sustainable development in Xinzheng City, and transform them into development advantages, providing provide strong technical support for the spatial ecological restoration and ecological security pattern construction of metropolitan suburbs.

  • Research Article
  • 10.12677/br.2025.143022
甘肃农牧交错带土地利用和碳储量的时空演变及预测
  • Jan 1, 2025
  • Botanical Research
  • 曼 王

甘肃农牧交错带土地利用和碳储量的时空演变及预测

More from: Acta Ecologica Sinica
  • Research Article
  • Cite Count Icon 6
  • 10.1016/j.chnaes.2023.08.010
Global research trends, publication characteristics and knowledge domains of plant reproductive biology: A bibliometric and knowledge mapping analysis of 50 years
  • Sep 5, 2023
  • Acta Ecologica Sinica
  • Pooja Singh + 4 more

  • Research Article
  • 10.1016/j.chnaes.2023.08.009
Rhizosphere bacteriome of Allium cepa after the application of chemical and endophyte-based fertilizer
  • Sep 1, 2023
  • Acta Ecologica Sinica
  • Rumella Simarmata + 7 more

  • Research Article
  • Cite Count Icon 8
  • 10.1016/j.chnaes.2023.05.009
Gastropods as bioindicators of heavy metal pollution in the Banyuasin estuary shrimp pond area, South Sumatra, Indonesia
  • Jun 1, 2023
  • Acta Ecologica Sinica
  • Yossy Fitria + 5 more

  • Research Article
  • 10.1016/j.chnaes.2023.05.001
Megacarpaea polyandra Benth. ex Madden - a promising traditional therapeutic herb from the high-altitude Himalayas: A systematic review
  • May 24, 2023
  • Acta Ecologica Sinica
  • Zubair A Malik + 4 more

  • Research Article
  • Cite Count Icon 2
  • 10.1016/j.chnaes.2023.04.003
Efficacy of KNO3 and priming duration for improving germination, seedling growth, and antioxidant enzymes of Keluss (Kelussia odoratissma Mozaff)
  • May 17, 2023
  • Acta Ecologica Sinica
  • Khadijeh Ahmadi + 2 more

  • Open Access Icon
  • PDF Download Icon
  • Research Article
  • Cite Count Icon 4
  • 10.1016/j.chnaes.2023.04.002
Mapping and evaluating plant phenology in the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau: A digital approach using the plant Phenological Index (PI)
  • May 16, 2023
  • Acta Ecologica Sinica
  • Yan Qing Zhang + 2 more

  • Research Article
  • Cite Count Icon 5
  • 10.1016/j.chnaes.2023.04.001
Predicting the potential impact of environmental factors on the distribution of Triplochiton scleroxylon (Malvaceae): An economically important tree species in Nigeria
  • May 1, 2023
  • Acta Ecologica Sinica
  • Emmanuel C Chukwuma + 7 more

  • Research Article
  • Cite Count Icon 1
  • 10.1016/j.chnaes.2023.03.005
Studies on the diversity of macroinvertebrates in suburban and rural aquatic bodies of West Bengal: Implications of vector control
  • Apr 15, 2023
  • Acta Ecologica Sinica
  • Anshuman Pati + 6 more

  • Research Article
  • Cite Count Icon 1
  • 10.1016/j.chnaes.2023.03.006
Changes in anatomy and phytochemistry of Hyoscyamus muticus L. and Rumex vesicarius L collected from two different sites
  • Apr 14, 2023
  • Acta Ecologica Sinica
  • E.A Gamal + 2 more

  • Research Article
  • Cite Count Icon 4
  • 10.1016/j.chnaes.2023.03.004
Analysis of land cover land use change in the greater Gaborone area of South Eastern Botswana
  • Mar 29, 2023
  • Acta Ecologica Sinica
  • Celestine Neba Suh + 3 more

Save Icon
Up Arrow
Open/Close
  • Ask R Discovery Star icon
  • Chat PDF Star icon

AI summaries and top papers from 250M+ research sources.

Search IconWhat is the difference between bacteria and viruses?
Open In New Tab Icon
Search IconWhat is the function of the immune system?
Open In New Tab Icon
Search IconCan diabetes be passed down from one generation to the next?
Open In New Tab Icon