Abstract
We analyze spatio-temporal data on U.S. unemployment rates. For this purpose, we present a family of models designed for the analysis and time-forward prediction of spatio-temporal econometric data. Our model is aimed at applications with spatially sparse but temporally rich data, i.e. for observations collected at few spatial regions, but at many regular time intervals. The family of models utilized does not make spatial stationarity assumptions and consists in a vector autoregressive (VAR) specification, where there are as many time series as spatial regions. A model building strategy is used that takes into account the spatial dependence structure of the data. Model building may be performed either by displaying sample partial correlation functions, or automatically with an information criterion. Monthly data on unemployment rates in the nine census divisions of the U.S. are analyzed. We show with a residual analysis that our autoregressive model captures the dependence structure of the data better than with univariate time series modeling.
Sign-in/Register to access full text options 
Talk to us
Join us for a 30 min session where you can share your feedback and ask us any queries you have
Schedule a callDisclaimer: All third-party content on this website/platform is and will remain the property of their respective owners and is provided on "as is" basis without any warranties, express or implied. Use of third-party content does not indicate any affiliation, sponsorship with or endorsement by them. Any references to third-party content is to identify the corresponding services and shall be considered fair use under The CopyrightLaw.
