Abstract
Space operations have evolved slowly but steadily over the last half century, driven primarily by computing and software developments implemented in both ground and space segments. The next decade could, however, see a paradigm shift in the scope and nature of space operations as a consequence of NewSpace activities, which have the potential to deliver major improvements in space access – in terms of cost, availability and reliability – and thereby increase the number and diversity of missions, especially those involving humans. While similar claims in the past have proved to be merely false dawns (Cf. the original rationale for Shuttle) there is good reason to believe that on-going developments are far more likely to lead to such a paradigm shift. This paper sets out the justifications for such optimism and discusses their implications with respect to both the scope and nature of space operations during the coming decade.
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