Abstract

We construct strength measures based on wins and potential bonuses and use a prediction model to determine bonuses that are significantly correlated with team strength. The results reveal that the bonus for losing by seven or fewer points is strongly statistically significant, bonuses for scoring three or more net tries are moderately significant and bonuses for scoring four or more tries are insignificant. These findings indicate that if bonuses are included to reward strong teams, the Six Nations Championship should adopt the bonus system used in French domestic competitions rather than that used in the Rugby World Cup and elsewhere.

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