Shifting balance in Central Asia: The Role of External Actors

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Competing regional cooperation mechanisms in Central Asia provide a unique opportunity for a case study of overlapping regionalisms pursued by three core external actors: the People’s Republic of China (PRC), the Russian Federation (RF), and the European Union (EU). The authors’ analysis is focused on the increasingly competing trade routes or corridors in Central Asia as well as the rivalry and interdependency between the participating countries. The research question addressed is what are the distinctive roles of the core powers—EU, RF and PRC—in reshaping the region? The mapping of the most important external-driven regional initiatives in Central Asia, their goals and achievements presented in this article, provides supporting evidence to a potential divide-and-conquer strategy pursued by the three external powers in Central Asia. The use of bilateral agreements and privileged relations with certain countries (Kazakhstan) hinder the development of regional cooperation. Le remodelage de l’Asie centrale : Le rôle des acteurs extérieurs Les mécanismes concurrents de coopération régionale en Asie centrale offrent une occasion unique d'étudier les différentes politiques régionales poursuivies par trois acteurs extérieurs essentiels à la région : la République populaire de Chine (RPC), la Fédération de Russie (FR) et l'Union européenne (UE). L'analyse des auteurs se concentre sur les routes ou corridors commerciaux de plus en plus concurrentiels, ainsi que sur la rivalité et l'interdépendance entre les pays participants. Quels rôles jouent les principales puissances - la RPC, la FR et l’UE - dans le remodelage de la région ? La cartographie des principales initiatives des politiques régionales de provenance extérieure à l’Asie centrale, ainsi que leurs objectifs et leurs accomplissements, présentée dans cet article, apporte des preuves à l'appui d'une stratégie de division et de conquête poursuivie par les trois puissances en Asie centrale. Par exemple, l’usage d’accords bilatéraux et les relations privilégiées entretenues avec certains pays, comme le Kazakhstan, entravent le développement de la coopération régionale.

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