Abstract

Abstract We study tests of power one for the following change-point problem. Suppose one observes a process 𝑊 which is either a Brownian motion without drift or a Brownian motion that has zero drift up to a random time τ after which with equal probability the drift becomes either θ or –θ, where the value of θ > 0 is known. The distribution of τ is also assumed to be known. We search for a stopping time 𝑇* that minimizes an appropriate Bayes risk and give a solution that is asymptotically optimal, when the cost of observation tends to zero.

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