Abstract

This paper on demand analysis is from the proceedings of 14th international Conference on Urban Transport and the Environment in the 21st Century, which was held in Malta in 2008. This paper is one of five papers that focus on the safety of users in road evacuation. In this paper, the authors focus on the use of Revealed Preference (RP) versus Stated Preference (SP) on surveys used for demand models for the simulation of a transportation system in emergency conditions is the aim of this work. The study uses demand models specified for the research project SICURO, organized by the Laboratory for Transport Systems Analysis (LAST) in Italy. The authors propose specification and calibration of generation and distribution with modal choice models. The model simulates the number of people using a transport mode from a certain origin to a certain refuge area. The proposed model was calibrated using the data from a real experiment in the urban area of Melito Porto Salvo, Italy.

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