Risk factors for mortality in emphysematous pancreatitis

Abstract

Objective To investigate the difference in the characteristics between patients with emphysematous pancreatitis (EP) who survived and those who died. Methods PubMed search was performed to gather EP cases from March 1959 to February 2019. Forty-two articles with 58 EP cases were identified and met the study’s inclusion criteria. The elderly were defined as individuals aged >65 years. Data on patients’ demographics, clinical symptoms, laboratory results, treatments, outcomes, and mortality were collected and analyzed by chi-square test and Student’s t-test. p-Value <.05 (2-tailed) was set as the significance level. Results Forty-seven men and eleven women aged 61.3 ± 15.9 (mean ± standard deviation) years were included. The elderly accounted for 43.1% (n = 25) of cases. There were 20 mortality cases, and 38 cases survived, with an overall mortality rate of 34.5%. Sex, underlying diseases, etiologies, and laboratory results were not significantly related to mortality. Older age was significantly related to mortality (p = .001). The shock was more commonly seen in the mortality group (100%) than in the survival group (21%) (p < .001). In contrast, fever was less frequent in the mortality group than in the survival group (25 vs. 71%, p = .002). Conclusions EP patients have a high mortality rate (34.5%). Older age, afebrile status, and presence of shock are associated with high mortality. To improve the survival of this aggressive group, a further prospective investigation involving a larger sample size is necessary.