Risk factors for early arteriovenous fistula failure in patients undergoing hemodialysis and comparison of diagnostic prediction models.

Hemodialysis is the most prevalent modality of renal replacement therapy. The durability of hemodialysis and its quality depend on consistent and reliable access to the patient's vascular system. In this systematic review we provide a comprehensive analysis of the predictors of primary arteriovenous fistula failure. A systematic search was conducted in PubMed, Web of Science, ScienceDirect, and the WHO Virtual Health Library Regional Portal from database inception through March 2025. Search terms included combinations of 'arteriovenous fistula', 'failure', 'hemodialysis', 'end-stage renal disease', and 'risk factors'. Four reviewers independently screened titles and abstracts, with full texts assessed according to predefined inclusion criteria. Studies were eligible if they examined risk factors for primary arteriovenous fistula failure in adult patients on hemodialysis. A total of 38 studies were included in the systematic review. Early arteriovenous fistula failure was significantly associated with a distal location of the fistula, small arterial diameter, small vein diameter, low serum albumin level, female gender, diabetes mellitus, and decreased systolic and diastolic blood pressure. This systematic review identified several key risk factors for early arteriovenous fistula failure in patients with end-stage renal disease (ESRD) undergoing hemodialysis. These factors should be considered from a patient safety perspective and included in the shared decision-making process with patients who are candidates for arteriovenous fistula surgery. Optimizing these factors may enhance fistula maturation and reduce the need for repeat vascular access procedures. However, recognizing that some risk factors may not be readily modifiable in ESRD patients, clinicians should balance optimization efforts with the urgency of establishing vascular access.

Fistula Salvage by Endovascular Therapy

The aim of the study was to assess the potential predictive factors for early arteriovenous fistula (AVF) failure following the fistula first initiative. We retrospectively reviewed the data of 159 end-stage renal disease (ESRD) patients who underwent AVF creation. The preoperative factors such as demographic, comorbidity condition, laboratory parameters and medication, and intraoperative or surgical-related factors were assessed. In multivariate logistic regression analysis, significant predictive factors of early AVF failure were female gender (odds ratio (95% confidence interval): 2.63 (1.19-5.81); P = 0.017), higher body mass index (P = 0.038), and lower hemoglobin level (P = 0.048), while adjusting for preoperative factors or all factors. For adjusting of intraoperative factors, reduced venous diameter (P = 0.056) tended to be associated with early AVF failure. In conclusion, female gender, higher body mass index and lower hemoglobin level predicted the occurrence of early AVF failure in ESRD patients.

To the best of our knowledge, a possible predictive relationship between the systemic coagulation-inflammation index (SCI) and arteriovenous fistula (AVF) failure following AVF creation has not yet been examined. We therefore designed this study to examine the predictive ability of SCI on postoperative early AVF failure in patients undergoing primary radiocephalic AVF operation. A total of 189 patients who underwent primary radiocephalic AVF operation for hemodialysis access were included in this retrospective observational cohort study, and then divided into two groups according to whether AVF failure occurred within the first 3 months after the operation; as failed AVF group (n = 44) and non-failed AVF group (n = 145). The patients' baseline clinical characteristics and laboratory parameters were recorded and then compared between the groups. Patients in failed AVF group were significantly older and had higher smoking rate than those in non-failed AF group. The median values of fibrinogen, platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio and SCI were significantly higher in failed AVF group than in non-failed AVF group. With regards to other clinical characteristics and laboratory parameters, no significant differences were detected between the groups in the univariate analyses. Only age and SCI maintained their significances in the multivariate logistic regression analysis, and were therefore considered as the independent predictors of AVF failure. ROC curve analysis revealed that SCI of 37.9 constituted the optimum cut-off value with 97.7% sensitivity and 94.5% specificity rates for predicting AVF failure. The present study demonstrated for the first time in the literature that SCI significantly and independently predicted early AVF failure following radiocephalic AVF creation.

BackgroundGuidance varies regarding the optimal timing of arteriovenous fistula (AVF) creation. The aim of this study was to evaluate the association between uraemia, haemodialysis and early AVF failure.MethodsImmunoblotting and cell proliferation assays were performed on vascular smooth muscle cells (VSM) cells isolated from long saphenous vein samples to evaluate the cells’ ability to proliferate when stimulated with uraemic (post-dialysis) and hyperuraemic (pre-dialysis) serum. Clinical data was collected prospectively for 569 consecutive radiocephalic (RCF) and brachiocephalic (BCF) fistulae. The primary outcome was AVF failure at 6 weeks. Dialysis status (haemodialysis (HD); pre-dialysis (Pre-D)), eGFR and serum urea were evaluated to determine if they affected early AVF failure.ResultsHuman VSM cells demonstrated increased capacity to proliferate when stimulated with hyperuraemic serum. There was no significant difference in early failure rate of either RCF or BCF depending on dialysis status (pre-D RCF 31.4% (n = 188); pre-D BCF 22.4% (n = 165); HD RCF 29.3% (n = 99); HD BCF 25.9% (n = 116); p = 0.34). There was no difference in mean eGFR between those patients with early AVF failure and those without (11.2+/-0.2 ml/min/1.73 m2 vs. 11.6+/-0.4 ml/min/1.73 m2; p = 0.47). Uraemia was associated with early AVF failure (serum urea: 35.0+/-0.7 mg/dl vs. 26.6+/-0.3 mg/dl (p < 0.001)).ConclusionsWe present the first in vivo evidence of an association between adverse early AVF outcomes and uraemia. This is supported mechanistically by in vitro work demonstrating a pro-mitogenic effect of hyperuraemic serum. We hypothesise that uraemia-driven upregulation of VSM cell proliferation at the site of surgical insult in contributes to higher early AVF failure rates.

Background Arteriovenous-fistula (AVF) are crucial for hemodialysis access, yet they frequently experience early failure. While studies have identified potential patient and clinical risk factors, these findings remain inconsistent. This inconsistency might be attributed to the varying definitions of “early failure”. Our retrospective cohort study aimed to evaluate how common risk factors predict four frequently early-failure criteria: thrombosis/stenosis, <500 ml/min blood flow, <5 mm vein diameter, and ≥6 mm deep vein. We also assessed how well these risk factors predict early failure defined as meeting at least one of these criteria. Additionally, we examined the predictive ability of vein-distensibility, a previously overlooked factor in AVF failure. Methods Consecutive patients with first-time AVF employing standard minimum preoperative artery- and vein-diameters (1.8–2.0 mm) who underwent first Doppler-ultrasound (DUS) at ≤4 months in 2016–2022 were identified. Early AVF failure was defined as the presence of at least one of the following conditions on the first DUS: poor blood flow (Qa), poor vein diameter, poor vein depth, and thrombosis/stenosis. Factors associated with early AVF failure were explored with multivariate analyses. Results 105 patients were eligible and 63 (60%) had an early AVF failure. The only strong predictor of early failure was low vein-distensibility (Odds ratio = 0.57, 95% confidence intervals [CIs] = 0.38–0.83, p = 0.005). Female sex only predicted too-deep veins (Odds ratio = 14.29, 95% CIs = 2.00–100, p = 0.024). Conclusions venous distensibility may be a useful early-failure determinant when minimum preoperative vessel-diameter limits are met. Moreover, the female sex is associated with too-deep AVF veins.

To evaluate the role of preoperative peripheral blood neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio in predicting early arteriovenous fistula failure. The impact of postoperative neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio on arteriovenous fistula failure was also investigated. Medical records from 470 patients who underwent first-time arteriovenous fistula creation were studied. Demographic, clinical, and laboratory data were obtained. Receiver operating characteristic curves were constructed to determine the optimal cutoff values of preoperative and postoperative neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratios for predicting early arteriovenous fistula failure. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to evaluate whether the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio parameters were prognostic indicators for arteriovenous fistula failure. Complete data from 396 patients were studied. The prevalence of early arteriovenous fistula failure was 30.6%. The optimal cutoff values of preoperative and postoperative neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratios for predicting early arteriovenous fistula failure were 2.7 (82.6% sensitivity and 52.0% specificity) and 2.9 (78.5% sensitivity and 73.1% specificity), respectively. By univariate and multivariate analyses, high preoperative and postoperative neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratios were significantly associated with early arteriovenous fistula failure. The adjusted odds ratios were 5.46 (95% confidence interval: 3.15-9.48) and 7.19 (95% confidence interval: 4.12-12.55), respectively. High preoperative and postoperative neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratios significantly predict early arteriovenous fistula failure.

Arteriovenous fistula (AVF) is the most preferred vascular access for hemodialysis patients, and early failure of AVF is one of the most avoidable complications of this procedure. We retrospectively evaluated whether adjuvant systemic heparinization just before arterial manipulation could reduce early failure of primary AVF. Three hundred and fifty-six patients with end-stage renal failure who underwent primary AVF surgery from April 2009 to September 2020 were enrolled in this study. The patients were divided into two groups based on whether they received adjuvant heparinization or not. Patient backgrounds, frequency of early AVF failure, and bleeding events were compared between the two groups. Multivariate Cox regression analysis identified risk factors for early AVF failure. Early failure of AVF was observed in only 2 of 157 patients (1.2%) in the adjuvant group, and the incident was significantly lower than observed in the non-adjuvant group, i.e., 17 of 199 patients (8.5%) (p = 0.002). Bleeding events were not significantly different between the two groups. Seven of 157 patients (4.5%) in the adjuvant group and 7 of 199 patients (3.5%) in the non-adjuvant group experienced bleeding events (p = 0.785). Female sex, use of steroids, hypoalbuminemia, venous stenosis in pre-surgical evaluation, arterial spasm in the perioperative period, new-onset venous stenosis after AVF anastomosis, technical failure of surgery, no early cannulation after surgery, and non-adjuvant heparinization were related to early AVF failure in the multivariate regression analysis. Adjuvant systemic heparinization therapy just before arterial manipulation reduced early failure of primary AVF without increasing bleeding events.

Native arteriovenous fistula (AVF) is considered the gold standard of vascular access for hemodialysis due to its longer survival, fewer complications, lower mortality and costs. Patency is important for effective dialysis treatment and this remains a challenge in nephrology. There are no well-defined prognostic factors for early and long-term AVF survival. The aim of this study was to evaluate comorbidity, analytical and ultrasound (US) variables as prognostic factors for early failure and AVF patency. A prospective single-center cohort study was conducted with 5 years of follow-up. Inclusion criteria were patients with new native AVF creation between January 2011 and December 2015 and known vascular access survival data at the end of follow-up. Comorbidity (blood pressure, severe arteriopathy, diabetes, Charlson Index), and laboratory data (hemoglobin, calcium, phosphorus, PTH, ferritin, C-reactive protein), as well as US preoperative mapping (morphology and hemodynamic), were collected. End-points were early failure and secondary patency by Kaplan-Meier. The study included 117 patients with native AVF. Median age was 69±18 years and mainly of male gender (N.=70, 59.8%). Hypertension, diabetes and severe vascular disease were present in 65 (86.7%), 38 (50.7%) and 31 (41.3%). In 55 patients (47.8%) the AVF was in a distal location. Early failure was 19.7% and secondary patency at 5 years was 66.7%. Elderly age (P=0.034) and vein diameter (P=0.041) had an impact on early AVF failure. Radial (P=0.006) and ulnar peak systolic velocity (PSV) (P=0.018) showed predictive value in native AVF secondary patency rate. Predictors of early and late events are slightly different. Elderly age and vein diameter had greater impact on early AVF failure. However, distal arterial hemodynamics showed prognostic value in native AVF secondary patency rate.

Hemodialysis is a prevalent treatment for the end-stage chronic kidney disease (CKD) worldwide. The primary arteriovenous fistula (AVF), widely considered the optimal hemodialysis access method, fails to mature in up to two-thirds of the cases. The etiology of the early AVF failure, defined as thrombosis or inability to use within three months post-creation remains less understood, and is influenced by various factors including patient demographics, surgical techniques, and genetic predispositions. Neointimal hyperplasia is a primary histological finding in stenotic lesions leading to the AVF failure. However, there are insufficient data on the cellular phenotypes and the impact of the preexisting CKD-related factors. This study aims to investigate the histological, morphometric, and immunohistochemical alterations in the fistula vein, pre-, peri-, and post-early failure. Eighty-nine stage 4-5 CKD patients underwent standard preoperative assessment, including the Doppler ultrasound, before a typical radio-cephalic AVF creation. Post-failure, a new AVF was created proximally. The vein specimens were collected during the surgery, processed, and analyzed for morphometric analyses and various cellular markers, including Vimentin, TGF, and Ki 67. The study enrolled 89 CKD patients, analyzing various aspects of their condition and AVF failures. The histomorphometric analysis revealed substantial venous luminal stenosis and varied endothelial changes. The immunohistologic analysis showed differential marker expressions pre- and post-AVF creation. This study highlights the complexity of the early AVF failures in CKD patients. The medial hypertrophy emerged as a significant preexisting lesion, while the postoperative analyses indicated a shift towards neointimal hyperplasia. The research underscores the nuanced interplay of vascular remodeling, endothelial damage, and cellular proliferation in the AVF outcomes.

Arteriovenous fistula (AVF) patency is important for patients undergoing hemodialysis. The association between early AVF failure and the prognosis, including all-cause mortality and major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), has not been fully investigated. The present study was performed to investigate the association between early AVF failure and 3-year mortality, cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality, and MACE. We analyzed 358 patients who started hemodialysis in our institution from October 2008 to February 2020. We defined early AVF failure as cases requiring percutaneous transluminal angioplasty or reoperation within 1 year after AVF surgery. The patients were divided into two groups according to the presence or absence of early AVF failure, and the prognosis of each group was examined. The association between early AVF failure and outcomes (3-year all-cause mortality, CVD mortality, and MACE) was determined using Cox proportional hazards regression analysis. During the 3-year follow-up, 75 (20.9%) patients died (cardiovascular death: n = 39) and 145 patients developed MACE. According to the multivariable analysis, the early AVF failure group had a significantly higher risk of 3-year all-cause mortality (hazard ratio [HR], 1.42; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.09-1.83; p = 0.009), CVD mortality (HR, 1.54; 95% CI, 1.29-2.08; p < 0.001), and MACE (HR, 1.68; 95% CI, 1.25-2.26; p < 0.001). When the patients were stratified by age, early AVF failure was associated with 3-year all-cause mortality in all groups except for the younger group (<65 years of age). Early AVF failure was associated with an increased risk of 3-year all-cause mortality, CVD mortality, and MACE.

Simple Predictive Model of Early Failure Among Patients Undergoing First Time Arteriovenous Fistula (AVF) Creation

Five-Year Results of the Valor II Trial of the Medtronic Valiant Thoracic Stent Graft

Background:The aim of this study was to evaluate the site, early results, and postoperative complications of arteriovenous f istula (AVF) creation procedures for hemodialysis in our clinic.Methods:The hospital records of 384 patients who underwent 411 AVF creation procedures for hemodialysis by the same team at our clinic between February 2008 and January 2010 were included for retrospective analysis. All procedures were performed under local anesthesia with lidocaine. Vasospasm was treated by mechanical dilatation with a probe and topical papaverine.Results:Of our 384 patients, 58.5% were male and 41.5% were female. Mean age was 46 (range 12–72) years. Of the 411 AVF procedures performed, 106 (25.8%) were created at the anatomical snuffbox, 264 (64.3%) were Brescia–Cimino procedures, and 41 (9.9%) were antecubital, brachiocephalic, or brachiobasilic procedures. Twenty-three patients (5.98%) were subjected to more than one surgical intervention due to early thrombosis or failure of AVF. Early patency was found in 94.0% of the AVF created. Twenty-three patients underwent more than one surgical intervention due to early AVF thrombosis or failure. Early AVF failure occurred more often in females (60.8%) than in males (39.2%). Complications were observed in a total of 11.4% patients.Conclusion:Mechanical dilatation of the artery and vein, before starting the anastomosis, as well as the use of vasodilatory agents, could decrease early thrombosis of the fistula, and this method has very high early patency.

The first choice of vascular access for hemodialysis in patients with end-stage renal disease is a distal radiocephalic arteriovenous fistula (AVF). Early failure rates for these AVFs vary from 10% to 53%. The effects of predialysis hypotension on failure of AVFs have been described in the literature. Weather lower blood pressures affect early AVF failure has not been extensively studied. We conducted this study to evaluate the effects of preoperative blood pressures on early AVF failure. Ours was a prospective observational study over a period of 2 years that included 224 patients who underwent distal radiocephalic AVF creation. Only those patients were included whose fistulas were made by surgeons with an experience of greater than five cases. The systolic, diastolic, and mean arterial pressures (MAPs) were recorded preoperatively. Early failure was defined as failure to achieve vascular access from the fistula within first 4 months of its creation. The overall early failure rate was 27.7%. Early failure was more common in females and diabetic patients. The systolic, diastolic, and MAPs were significantly lower in patients with early failure (P < 0.05). In a multivariable adjusted analysis, lower preoperative diastolic and MAPs were predictors for early failure of distal radiocephalic AVF. Our study shows that patients with early failure of AVFs have lower preoperative blood pressure. A larger study is required to substantiate our findings and define target preoperative blood pressure for AVF creation.