Abstract
Beginning with real estate financial risk and risk energy theory, combined with empirical research, this article analyzes real estate financial markets in different stages and calculates the profit and loss (the ratio of the release of risk energy to the risk energy) in order to judge whether the risk energy has exceeded the system tolerance and to play a warning role. First, this article analyzes uncertain factors in the real estate market, builds a real estate supply and demand network, determines system risk characteristics, corresponding profit and loss categories, quantitative and qualitative factors, and the risk of energy release and the collapse of boundary conditions. The real estate market is approached using both univariate and multivariate analyses, dividing the real estate market into three stages and probing mergers and transformation conditions for different levels of risk. Finally, the authors analyze whether the financial risk energy released by real estate market exceeds the capacity of the system by calculating probability, risk, which play a warning role.
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