Abstract

We consider the evolution of residential electricity use since the early 1970s in 11 OECD countries. Average growth in demand has been higher in Europe and Japan than in the U.S. This result is mainly attributable to the difference in saturation of appliances and electricity heating, which was higher in the U.S. than elsewhere at the beginning of the period. Growth in appliance ownership was responsible for high growth rates from 1960 through around 1973, when electric heating began to become popular in many countries. By the early 1980s, more efficient appliances and tighter new homes dampened growth in demand in most countries. Average growth in electricity demand per household between 1978 and 1983 was generally less than 2% per yr, and was negative in some countries.

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