Abstract

Reliability analysis has gained prominence as a stochastic approach to incorporate uncertainties in structural analysis. This study presents a novel methodology for evaluating the sensitivity of the crack tip stress intensity factor in a shallow shell structure. The work focuses on the reliability analysis of a shallow shell structure containing a crack originating from the corner of a fuselage window. The analysis incorporates uncertainties in both geometrical and loading parameters. The sensitivity of the crack tip stress intensity factors with respect to the considered uncertainties is determined. The Implicit Differentiation Method (IDM)-based First-Order Reliability Method (FORM) is utilized, and the results are compared to the results obtained from Monte Carlo Simulation (MCS), with a maximum difference of 2.99%. The reliability analysis aids in determining an appropriate inspection crack size that satisfies safety requirements, consequently facilitating the selection of the corresponding inspection technique.

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