Rapid prediction of pollutants behaviours under complicated gate control for the middle route of South-to-North water transfer project

Abstract

ABSTRACT Many crossing hydraulic structures have been constructed in the Middle Route of the South-to-North Water Transfer Project (MR-SNWTP), which increases the likelihood of sudden water pollution accidents. After an accident, managers need to assess the extent of pollution under conditions of gate control, and it’s necessary to make suitable emergency control decision under this assessment. Therefore, we researched the rapid prediction of pollutants behaviours under conditions of complicated gate control in this paper, by presenting three characteristic parameters of pollutant migration and diffusion. According to the simulation results, the influencing reasons and rapid prediction formulas for the characteristic parameters (peak transport distance, pollutant longitudinal length and peak concentration) after a sudden water-soluble pollution accident are proposed. Also, the approval results show that the formulas can accurately predict the location and range of the pollutant after the emergency accident. Finally, the rapid prediction formulas for the characteristic parameters played a fundamental role in the decisions involved in the Emergency Environmental Decision Support System is proved by two application examples.