Abstract

PurposeTo create a prognostic prediction radiomics model for soft tissue sarcoma (STS) of the extremities and trunk treated with neoadjuvant radiotherapy.MethodsThis study included 62 patients with STS of the extremities and trunk who underwent magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) before neoadjuvant radiotherapy. After tumour segmentation and preprocessing, 851 radiomics features were extracted. The radiomics score was constructed according to the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) method. Survival analysis (disease-free survival; DFS) was performed using the log-rank test and Cox’s proportional hazards regression model. The nomogram model was established based on the log-rank test and Cox regression model. Harrell’s concordance index (C-index), calibration curve and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis were used to evaluate the prognostic factors. The clinical utility of the model was assessed by decision curve analysis (DCA).ResultsThe univariate survival analysis showed that tumour location (p = 0.032), clinical stage (p = 0.022), tumour size (p = 0.005) and the radiomics score were correlated with DFS (p < 0.05). The multivariate analysis showed that tumour location, tumour size, and the radiomics score were independent prognostic factors for DFS (p < 0.05). The combined clinical-radiomics model based on the multivariate analysis showed the best predictive ability for DFS (C-index: 0.781; Area Under Curve: 0.791). DCA revealed that the use of the radiomics score-based nomogram was associated with better benefit gains relative to the prediction of 2-year DFS events than other models in the threshold probability range between 0.12 and 0.38.ConclusionThe radiomics score from pretreatment MRI is an independent prognostic factor for DFS in patients with STS of the extremities and trunk. The radiomics score-based nomogram could improve prognostic stratification ability and thus contribute to individualized therapy for STS patients.

Highlights

  • Soft tissue sarcoma (STS) is an uncommon malignant tumour that represents less than 1% of all newly diagnosed malignant tumours [1]

  • We evaluated a radiomics model derived from magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) for the prediction of prognosis in STS of the extremities and trunk treated with neoadjuvant radiotherapy

  • According to the results of the multivariate analysis, we established a nomogram that incorporated the radiomics score and clinical factors for predicting disease-free survival (DFS) in patients with STS of the extremities and trunk treated with neoadjuvant radiotherapy

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Summary

Introduction

Soft tissue sarcoma (STS) is an uncommon malignant tumour that represents less than 1% of all newly diagnosed malignant tumours [1]. The cornerstone of the management of STS patients is surgery. For high-risk patients with STS of the extremities and trunk, the recommended treatment is surgery combined with radiation therapy (RT). Clinical staging systems such as the TNM staging and grading systems are the most widely used prognostic markers in STS but are not efficient [7,8,9]. Previous studies have demonstrated the prognostic value of magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) in STS [10, 11], and radiomics, a highdimensional technology, can be used to further analyse tumour features beyond known parameters. Radiomics features (such as intensity, texture or wavelet) can offer information about the tumour microenvironment, tumour grade and long-term prognosis [12,13,14,15,16]. There are limited studies concerning the prediction of the prognosis of neoadjuvant radiotherapy in STS

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