Abstract
Understanding the impact of the warming trend on phenological stages and phases of cotton (Gossypium hirsutum L.) in central and lower Punjab, Pakistan, may assist in optimizing crop management practices to enhance production. This study determined the influence of the thermal trend on cotton phenology from 1980–2015 in 15 selected locations. The results demonstrated that observed phenological stages including sowing (S), emergence (E), anthesis (A) and physiological maturity (M) occurred earlier by, on average, 5.35, 5.08, 2.87 and 1.12 days decade−1, respectively. Phenological phases, sowing anthesis (S-A), anthesis to maturity (A-M) and sowing to maturity (S-M) were reduced by, on average, 2.45, 1.76 and 4.23 days decade−1, respectively. Observed sowing, emergence, anthesis and maturity were negatively correlated with air temperature by, on average, −2.03, −1.93, −1.09 and −0.42 days °C−1, respectively. Observed sowing-anthesis, anthesis to maturity and sowing-maturity were also negatively correlated with temperature by, on average, −0.94, −0.67 and −1.61 days °C−1, respectively. Applying the cropping system model CSM-CROPGRO-Cotton model using a standard variety in all locations indicated that the model-predicted phenology accelerated more due to warming trends than field-observed phenology. However, 30.21% of the harmful influence of the thermal trend was compensated as a result of introducing new cotton cultivars with higher growing degree day (thermal time) requirements. Therefore, new cotton cultivars which have higher thermal times and are high temperature tolerant should be evolved.
Highlights
Cotton (Gossypium hirsutum L.) is known as “White-Gold” and is a most important fiber, oilseed and cash crop in Pakistan
The thermal trend of the environment was observed in the phenological phases of cotton in all 15 chosen locations in central and lower Punjab, Pakistan, for the duration of 1980 to 2015 (Figure 1)
Climate warming had an enormous influence on the phenology of agricultural crops in several regions
Summary
Cotton (Gossypium hirsutum L.) is known as “White-Gold” and is a most important fiber, oilseed and cash crop in Pakistan. It accounts for 1.5% of the gross domestic product GDP and 7.1% of the agricultural economy of Pakistan. Cotton growth and development are highly impacted due to biotic as well as abiotic stresses. From these stresses, the elevated mean temperature is the major environmental factor which harmfully reduces cotton yield and quality [2,3,4,5,6,7,8]
Sign-in/Register to view highlights & summary Sign-in/Register to access full text options 
Talk to us
Join us for a 30 min session where you can share your feedback and ask us any queries you have
Schedule a callDisclaimer: All third-party content on this website/platform is and will remain the property of their respective owners and is provided on "as is" basis without any warranties, express or implied. Use of third-party content does not indicate any affiliation, sponsorship with or endorsement by them. Any references to third-party content is to identify the corresponding services and shall be considered fair use under The CopyrightLaw.
