Abstract

Serum carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) and cytokeratin 19 fragment (CYFRA 21-1) levels are prognostic predictors in non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). However, even in patients with the same stage of cancer, the serum levels of those markers often vary. We investigated the association between the initial biomarker levels and prognosis. We retrospectively reviewed 445 patients with advanced NSCLC and their baseline serum CEA and CYFRA 21-1 levels. Patients were divided into four groups according to the initial levels of those markers: the NN, HN, NH, and HH group. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis with Log-rank test and Cox proportional hazards regression analysis were performed. The 5-year overall survival (OS) rate in the HN group was the highest (32.2%). Multivariate analyses indicated that the HN group (HR 0.520, 95% CI 0.309-0.878, P= 0.014), female sex (HR 0.685, 95% CI 0.498-0.944, P= 0.021), serum CRP level (HR 1.057, 95% CI 1.034-1.080, P< 0.001), chemotherapy (HR 0.324, 95% CI 0.228-0.460, P< 0.001), and chemotherapy/radiotherapy (HR 0.266, 95% CI 0.171-0.414, P< 0.001) were independent prognostic factors for overall survival. In advanced NSCLC, patients with baseline high serum CEA but low CYFRA 21-1 level have a significant longer overall survival regardless of clinical stage.

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