Abstract
This paper documents a robust new fact about the cross section of stock returns: stocks of companies with higher past production efficiency earn significantly higher average returns in the future. The return difference between the high production efficiency and the low production efficiency portfolio is 25.7% annually, after adjusted for exposures to the market return, size, value and momentum factor. The production efficiency retains its forecasting capability even on large capitalization stocks, and the abnormal return associated with the production efficiency is the strongest within small capitalization stocks. The predicting power of the production efficiency is more persistent for large capitalization stocks than for small capitalization stocks. The empirical finding casts doubt on the measures that use the firm’s productivity as one of the determinants to assess the firm’s financial constraint.
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