Prisoner’s Dilemma as a Tool to Analyze Tax-Farming Institutions

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This chapter gives a game-theoretical model of tax-farming contracts to examine the level of the rule of law in the Ottoman Empire. We employ tools from Prisoner’s Dilemma game for two reasons. First, the PD game is a simple embodiment of establishing cooperation in contractual relations. In this sense, the PD game generates the basis of our theoretical perspective to analyze equilibrium(s) and outcome(s) as well as the rule of law. Secondly, the assumptions of the PD game are compatible with the payoffs proposed from primary sources based on tax-farming contracts and court records. The game-theoretical model has suggested that once a contractual arrangement emerged between the central authority and the agent, the strategies of contracting parties were mostly defection. Thus, a Nash Equilibrium(s) has emerged within the institutional environment. Game theory has argued that Nash equilibrium(s) is Pareto inferior, and the Pareto optimum outcomes are based on cooperation among contracting parties. The main reason is that selective and partial institutional change entailed failure to establish a competitive structure within the institutional environment. The structure of law and the role of judicial/religious-based agents had limited the institutional change to protect their interests in contractual relations. In terms of the rule of law, this study has argued that the Ottoman Empire became a typical example of a “limited access order”. The structure of law and its judges, however, had prevented agents from developing mechanisms in limiting the coercive power of the central authority. The judicial/religious-based agents had used their influence to maintain the institutional structure as it did.

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