Predischarge Peak Atrial Longitudinal Strain and Plasma N-terminal Pro-hormone Brain Natriuretic Peptide as a Predictor of Short-term Rehospitalization and Cardiovascular Mortality in Patients with Acute Heart Failure.

Abstract

The postacute heart failure (AHF) rehospitalization rate is attributed to persistent hemodynamic congestion despite clinical improvement. Peak atrial longitudinal strain (PALS), utilizing speckle tracking echocardiography technology, shows potential in post-AHF prognosis. Meanwhile, N-terminal pro-hormone brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) remains a known biomarker of intracardiac congestion. This study aimed to determine the relationship between predischarge PALS and NT-proBNP as predictors of major adverse cardiac event (MACE) in patients after AHF hospitalization. This study is a prospective cohort study, conducted in Prof. Dr. I G.N.G Ngoerah Hospital, Bali, Indonesia. The study included hospitalized AHF patients, collecting demographic data, comorbidities, therapies, and echocardiographic measures before discharge. Predischarge PALS and NT-proBNP were taken within 24 h before discharge. The main outcome was MACE, defined as rehospitalization and cardiovascular mortality within 90 days. Comparative statistical analyses was done using independent t-test for continuous variables (Mann-Whitney U test for variables with abnormal distribution) and Chi-squared tests. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) used in determining optimal threshold values of predischarge PALS and NT-proBNP as a predictor of MACE. Kaplan-Meier curves were employed to gauge event-free survival differences between these cohorts. Then, independent Cox regression was used to identify the predictors of MACE. The study enrolled 67 patients with varying ejection fraction (EF) (16 - heart failure with preserved ejection fraction, 10 - heart failure with mildly reduced ejection fraction, and 41 - heart failure with reduced ejection fraction; mean age: 56.88 ± 14.57 years). Over the 90-day follow-up, 21 patients (31.3%) encountered MACE. Both PALS (area under the curve [AUC] 0.816) and NT-proBNP (AUC 0.856) before discharge served as predictors of MACE. There was no significant AUC difference between ROC curves (area difference: 0.039, P = 0.553). The regression model highlighted that PALS and NT-proBNP level before discharge acted as independent predictors of MACE, irrespective of EF, average E/e', or estimated predischarge pulmonary capillary wedge pressure. Predischarge PALS is comparable to NT-proBNP levels as independent predictors of short-term MACE after AHF hospitalization.