Predictors of mortality and treatment failure in tuberculosis patients enrolled in the tuberculosis and leprosy program in mainland Tanzania: a retrospective cohort study

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Abstract Background Tuberculosis (TB) is a significant global health issue, mainly in developing countries. Despite the progress made in reducing TB rates, adverse treatment outcomes, such as deaths and treatment failures, continue to be a concern. We aimed to determine the treatment failure and death rates, and its predictors, among TB patients in Tanzania from January 2022 to December 2023. Methodology We conducted a cohort study utilizing data from the National Tuberculosis and Leprosy Programme database, focusing on TB patients who began treatment in 2022 and 2023. The Cox proportional hazards model was used to conduct univariate and multivariate analyses. Hazard ratios and their respective 95% confidence intervals were reported. Kaplan–Meier curves were employed to estimate the probabilities of these outcomes over time. A p -value ≤ 0.05 was considered significant. Results The overall death rate and treatment failure rate among participants was 2.76 and 0.11%, respectively. Older adults had significantly increased risk of adverse outcomes, with nearly four times the likelihood of death (AHR 3.62, 95%CI: 3.18–4.11, p < 0.001) and twice the likelihood of treatment failure (AHR 2.25, 95%CI: 1.12–4.52, p = 0.022). Male participants faced a higher risk of both death (AHR 1.10, 95%CI: 1.03–1.17, p = 0.003) and treatment failure (AHR 1.56, 95%CI: 1.12–2.17, p = 0.009) than females. Urban residents had increased risk of death (AHR 1.40, 95%CI: 1.32–1.49, p < 0.001) and treatment failure (AHR 1.46, 95%CI: 1.08–1.98, p = 0.014) compared to those in rural areas. Treatment in hospitals was associated with worse outcomes, including almost twice the risk of death (AHR 1.71, 95%CI: 1.57–1.86, p < 0.001) and a higher likelihood of treatment failure (AHR 1.49, 95%CI: 1.01–2.20, p = 0.042). Most deaths occurred within the first two months of treatment, whereas treatment failures peaked at six months. Conclusion The study revealed significant differences in death and treatment failure rates based on patients’ characteristics, with higher risks observed in older adults, males, urban residents, treatment at higher-level facilities, having pulmonary TB, TB/HIV co-infection, retreatment, being treated under Facility DOT, and being referred through other referral types other than self-referral, CTC referral and community referrals. The findings emphasize the need for targeted efforts to improve TB outcomes.

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  • Tropical Medicine & International Health
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In Pakistan, the prevalence of diabetes (DM) among adults is 6.9% and expected to double by 2040. DM may facilitate transmission and halter the elimination of tuberculosis (TB). We aimed to determine the prevalence of DM among patients with TB in Pakistan, and to investigate anthropometric biochemical and haemodynamic associations between TB patients with and without DM. We conducted a cross-sectional study at Gulab Devi Chest Hospital in Lahore, Punjab. A total of 3027 newly diagnosed smear-positive TB patients ≥25 years of age were screened for DM by HbA1c regardless of previous DM history. The prevalence of screen-detected DM and known DM among the TB participants was 13.5% and 26.1%, respectively, resulting in a combined DM prevalence of 39.6%. Most participants were male (64.4%). Using bivariate analyses, participants with DM were significantly older (49.8 vs. 40.6 years) with higher haemoglobin (men, 12.1 vs. 11.8 g/dl, women 11.5 vs. 10.7 g/dl), body mass index (21.0 vs. 17.6 kg/m2 ) and waist-hip ratio (men, 0.87 vs. 0.81, women, 0.87 vs. 0.79) (all P < 0.05) than participants without DM. Stratifying by screen-detected and known DM, these differences remained significant when using multivariate analysis. We report a high prevalence of DM among patients with TB who may be anthropometrically and biochemically distinct from TB patients without DM, and this heterogeneity further transcends the different DM groups.

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Unfavourable treatment outcomes in tuberculosis patients with different vitamin D status and blood glucose levels in a programme setting in China.
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  • Yan Lin + 11 more

Tuberculosis (TB) treatment success rates are high in China, but there are still a considerable number of cases who have unfavourable treatment outcomes (UTO). We aimed to determine the proportion of TB patients with UTO and to assess whether baseline characteristics that included glycaemic status [normal fasting blood glucose (FBG), transient hyperglycaemia and diabetes mellitus (DM)] and vitamin D status were associated with UTO. Prospective cohort study conducted between November 2015 and July 2016 at six clinics within routine TB services in Jilin province, where persons with TB were consecutively recruited. Data analysis was performed using the chi-squared test and multivariate logistic regression. Of the306 recruited TB patients, 96 (31.4%) had smear-positive pulmonary TB, 187 (61.1%) had smear-negative pulmonary TB and 23 (7.5%) had extrapulmonary TB (EPTB). Of these, 95 (31.1%) had normal blood glucose, 83 (27.1%) had transient hyperglycaemia and 128 (41.8%) had DM. 227 (74.2%) patients had vitamin D deficiency/severe deficiency. There were 125 (40.8%) patients with UTO of whom the majority were lost to follow-up (57.6%) or not evaluated (28.8%). UTO was significantly associated with smear-negative pulmonary TB (P=0.009), EPTB (P<0.001) and DM (P=0.007). The proportion of TB patients with UTO increased with smear-negative pulmonary TB, EPTB and DM. TB programmes need to pay more attention to these issues and ensure intensive patient support to those at risk and early detection of DM.

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Association of Plasma Matrix Metalloproteinase and Tissue Inhibitors of Matrix Metalloproteinase Levels With Adverse Treatment Outcomes Among Patients With Pulmonary Tuberculosis
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  • JAMA Network Open
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Epidemiology of co-infections in tuberculosis patients in Tanzania : HIV, helminth infection and respiratory pathogens
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We investigated the distribution of comorbidities among adult tuberculosis (TB) patients in Chiapas, the poorest Mexican state, with a high presence of indigenous population, and a corridor for migrants from Latin America. Secondary analysis on 5508 new adult TB patients diagnosed between 2010 and 2014 revealed that the most prevalent comorbidities were diabetes mellitus (DM; 19.1%) and undernutrition (14.4%). The prevalence of DM in these TB patients was significantly higher among middle aged (41-64 years) compared with older adults (⩾65 years) (38.6% vs. 23.2%; P &lt; 0.0001). The prevalence of undernutrition was lower among those with DM, and higher in communities with high indigenous presence. Immigrants only comprised 2% of all TB cases, but were more likely to have unfavourable TB treatment outcomes (treatment failure, death and default) when compared with those born in Chiapas (29.5% vs. 11.1%; P &lt; 0.05). Unfavourable TB outcomes were also more prevalent among the TB patients with undernutrition, HIV or older age, but not DM (P &lt; 0.05). Our study in Chiapas illustrates the challenges of other regions worldwide where social (e.g. indigenous origin, poverty, migration) and host factors (DM, undernutrition, HIV, older age) are associated with TB. Further understanding of these critical factors will guide local policy makers and health providers to improve TB management.

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  • D A Ivanova + 5 more

To study the association of comorbidities and treatment outcomes in tuberculosis (TB) patients. A retrospective study includes all TB patients aged 18 years and older registered for treatment in Moscow in period 2021 the end of the 3rd quarter of 2022 using data of regional epidemiological TB monitoring system, a total of 3039 patients. The frequency and spectrum of comorbidities, its impact on the risk of adverse treatment outcome (ATO) and mortality using univariate and regression analysis were assessed. Comorbidities were identified in 1528 (50.3%) patients (95% confidence interval - CI 48.5-52.1); HIV infection (18.0%), chronic nonspecific lung disease (9.6%) and cardiovascular disease (8.2%) were predominant. The presence of comorbid pathology increased the odds of uneffective treatment (odds ratio - OR 2.56, 95% CI 2.22-3.03) and death (OR 2.45, 95% СI 1.67-3.59). Independent risk factors for ATO were HIV infection (OR 4.10, 95% CI 3.36-5.10), substance use (OR 2.57, 95% CI 1.70-3.66), chronic nonspecific lung disease (OR 1.39, 95% CI 1.04-1.88), diabetes mellitus (OR 1.69, 95% CI 1.15-2.48), liver pathology (OR 2.10, 95% CI 1.46-3.03), mental illness (OR 2.01, 95% CI 1.32-3.06). The death rate was 13.4%; the most significant predictors of mortality were HIV infection (OR 3.89, 95% CI 2.42-6.22) and liver disease (OR 1.90, 95% CI 1.27-2.82). A comorbidome model was constructed to assess the importance of different comorbidities for patient prognosis. The presence of comorbidity (predominantly HIV infection and liver disease) is a significant risk factor for ATO and mortality in TB patients, which should be taken into account when organizing and providing TB care to comorbid patients.

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  • 10.5588/pha.15.0030
Communicable and non-communicable diseases: connections, synergies and benefits of integrating care.
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  • Public Health Action
  • A D Harries + 7 more

Communicable and non-communicable diseases: connections, synergies and benefits of integrating care.

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  • Cite Count Icon 97
  • 10.1371/journal.pone.0083445
Sputum Microbiota Associated with New, Recurrent and Treatment Failure Tuberculosis
  • Dec 13, 2013
  • PLoS ONE
  • Jing Wu + 12 more

Microbiota have recently been shown to be associated with many disease conditions. However, the microbiota associated with tuberculosis (TB) infection, recurrence and treatment outcome have not been systematically characterized. Here, we used high throughput 16S RNA sequencing to analyze the sputum microbiota associated with Mycobacterium tuberculosis infection and also to identify the microorganisms associated with different outcomes of TB treatment. We recruited 25 new TB patients, 30 recurrent TB patients and 20 TB patients with treatment failure, as well as 20 healthy controls. Streptococcus, Gramulicatella and Pseudomonas were more abundant in TB patients while Prevotella, Leptotrichia, Treponema, Catonella and Coprococcus were less abundant in TB patients than in the healthy controls. We found reduced frequency and abundance of some genera such as Bulleidia and Atopobium in recurrent TB patients compared with those in new TB patients. In addition, the ratio of Pseudomonas / Mycobacterium in recurrent TB was higher than that in new TB while the ratio of Treponema / Mycobacterium in recurrent TB was lower than that in new TB, indicating that disruption of these bacteria may be a risk factor of TB recurrence. Furthermore, Pseudomonas was more abundant and more frequently present in treatment failure patients than in cured new patients, and the ratio of Pseudomonas / Mycobacterium in treatment failure was higher than that in new TB. Our data suggest that the presence of certain bacteria and the disorder of lung microbiota may be associated with not only onset of TB but also its recurrence and treatment failure. These findings indicate that lung microbiota may play a role in pathogenesis and treatment outcome of TB and may need to be taken into consideration for improved treatment and control of TB in the future.

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