Predictors of 30-Day Outcomes in Octogenarians with Traumatic C2 Fractures Undergoing Surgery

Abstract

Predictors of surgical outcomes following traumatic axis (C2) fractures in octogenarians remain undercharacterized. Patients age ≥80 years undergoing cervical spine surgery following traumatic C2 fractures were extracted from the National Sample Program of the National Trauma Data Bank (2003-2012). Outcomes include overall inpatient complications, individual complications with an incidence >1%, hospital length of stay (HLOS), discharge disposition, and mortality. Demographics, comorbidities, and injury predictors were analyzed using multivariable regression. Odds ratios (OR), mean differences, and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated. Statistical significance was assessed at P < 0.05. The cohort of 442 patients was 48.6% male and had a mean age of 84.3 ± 2.7 years. The distribution of admissions was 42.3% to the hospital floor, 40.3% to the intensive care unit (ICU), 7.7% to telemetry, 2.0% to the operating room, and 7.7% to other/unknown. Mortality was 9.7%, mean HLOS was 13.1 ± 9.2 days, the rate of complications was 38.5%, and 81.5% of survivors were discharged to a nonhome facility. Injury severity was predictive of mortality and overall complications. History of bleeding disorder/coagulopathy predicted mortality (OR, 4.02; 95% CI, 1.07-15.05), overall complications (OR, 3.01; 95% CI, 1.09-8.32), cardiac arrest (OR, 8.19; 95% CI, 1.06-63.54), and renal complications (OR, 10.36; 95% CI, 2.13-50.38). History of congestive heart failure predicted mortality (OR, 3.10; 95% CI, 1.10-8.69). ICU admission (vs. floor) predicted overall complications (OR, 2.01; 95% CI, 1.23-3.27) and pneumonia (OR, 4.65; 95% CI, 1.91-11.30). Telemetry admission (vs. floor) predicted unplanned intubation (OR, 7.76; 95% CI, 1.24-48.49). In this cohort of octogenarians undergoing surgery for traumatic C2 fracture, injury severity and a history of bleeding disorder/coagulopathy were identified as risk factors for inpatient complications and mortality. Heightened surveillance should be considered for ICU and/or telemetry admissions for the development of complications. These findings warrant consideration by the clinician, patient, and family to inform clinical decisions and goals of care.