Predicting the BRAF mutation with pretreatment MRI radiomics features for melanoma brain metastases receiving Gamma Knife radiosurgery

Abstract

To develop a model using radiomics features extracted from magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) images of Gamma Knife radiosurgery (GKRS) to predict the BRAF mutation in patients with melanoma brain metastases (MBM). Data of 220 tumours were classified into two groups. One was a group whose BRAF mutation was identified, and the other group whose BRAF mutation was not identified. We extracted 1,962 radiomics features from gadolinium contrast-enhanced T1-weighted MRI treatment-planning images. Synthetic Minority Over-sampling TEchnique (SMOTE) was performed to address the unbalanced data-related issues. A single-layer neural network (NN) was used to build predictive models with radiomics features. The sensitivity, specificity, accuracy, and the area under the curve (AUC) were evaluated to assess the model performance. The prediction performance for the final evaluation without the SMOTE had an accuracy of 77.14%, a specificity of 82.44%, a sensitivity of 81.85%, and an AUC of 0.79. The application of SMOTE improved the prediction model to an accuracy of 83.1%, a specificity of 87.07%, a sensitivity of 78.82%, and an AUC of 0.82. The current study showed the feasibility of generating a highly accurate NN model for the BRAF mutation prediction. The prediction performance improved with SMOTE. The model assists physicians to obtain more accurate expectations of the treatment outcome without a genetic test.