Abstract
Forensic anthropologists face the complex task of estimating population affinity from skeletal remains, a process that involves inferring culturally constructed "social race" from biological tissues, a challenge further complicated by the nuanced distinction between population affinity and "race". The difficulty in making these estimations arises from the complex interplay between social constructs of race, skeletal morphology, and geographic origin. These factors are further influenced by elements such as assortative mating and institutional racism in regions such as South Africa and the United States. The interaction between cultural factors and biological traits raises the question of whether the challenges in estimating population affinity are inevitable or due to a limited understanding of human variation. To address this knowledge gap, this paper presents a review of population affinity estimation in forensic anthropology, with a focus on the South African context. It provides foundational background and historical insights, explores the medico-legal significance of population affinity, and critically evaluates both traditional and emerging estimation methods. By highlighting regional challenges and recent advancements, this review aims to enhance understanding and contribute to ongoing debates in the field. CLINICAL TRIAL NUMBER: Not applicable.
Highlights
Population affinity estimation is a critical component of forensic anthropology, providing valuable insights into an individual’s likely social group based on skeletal morphology [1, 2]
Population affinity estimation is a crucial aspect of forensic anthropology, providing valuable information for identifying unknown individuals
The forensic landscape in South Africa has been shaped by centuries of migration, colonial rule, and apartheid-era racial classifications, all of which have influenced both biological variation and the frameworks used to categorize individuals
Summary
Population affinity estimation is a critical component of forensic anthropology, providing valuable insights into an individual’s likely social group based on skeletal morphology [1, 2] This process is essential for constructing biological profiles used in medico-legal investigations, mass disasters, and historical identifications, while informing culturally appropriate repatriation efforts and contributing to broader understandings of human variation [1–3]. This process relied on typological models that rigidly classified humans into discrete racial categories based on observable traits such as skin colour, cranial morphology, body proportions, and behaviour These models, The ANSI/ASB Standard 132, established by the American Academy of Forensic Sciences Standards Board, formalizes this approach to population affinity estimation by defining it as the probabilistic assessment of whether skeletal traits align with known reference groups [14].
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