Political Polarisation on Social Media and Social Trust amongst Voters: Analysing the Moderating Effect of Media Efficacy

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The rise of political polarisation in Pakistan has spurred experts to pose the fundamental inquiry: what enduring repercussions will polarised politics have on Pakistan’s democratic framework? The existing evidence provides significant grounds for apprehension. One of the growing issues of political polarisation is its effect on social trust. The present study investigates the relationship between social media political expression, partisanship, and affective and ideological polarisation and social trust. This study gives us understanding about the sentiments of ‘self’ towards proponent’s in-group members and out-group members, referring to a Pakistani sample (n = 413). Further, the scholarship tests the moderating role of media efficacy between affective and ideological polarisation and social trust. Social identity theory and the echo chamber effect provided theoretical support for the research. Six direct and two indirect hypotheses were developed. Partisan identity exhibited positive and significant impact on both affective and ideological polarisation, whereas social media political expression did not exhibit any significant impact on either. However, amongst the two proposed moderating hypotheses, media efficacy moderates only the relationship between ideological polarisation and social trust. The study concludes by discussing its implications in Pakistan’s socio-cultural environment, acknowledging its limitations, and providing recommendations for future scholars.

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&#x0D; &#x0D; &#x0D; &#x0D; &#x0D; &#x0D; This scientific article investigates the construction of political identity through hashtag movements on Instagram, focusing on the "#kadrun" hashtag related to Anies Baswedan, a presidential candidate for the 2024 election in Indonesia. Using the framing analysis method by Zhong Dang Pan and Gerald M. Kosicky, the study examines the structural dimensions of political identity content by observing and analyzing the hashtag from October 3, 2022, to May 3, 2023. The results reveal three Instagram accounts actively contributing and acting as political identity buzzers, uploading 89 to 92 contents within seven months. The hashtag frames Anies Baswedan and his supporters as a radical Islamic group, seeking to establish a caliphate, and intolerant, potentially leading to political polarization based on religion, community, and ethnicity in the upcoming election. These findings hold implications for understanding the impact of social media content on political discourse and polarization, especially among young active voters who rely on Instagram as a source of information during elections.&#x0D; Highlight:&#x0D; &#x0D; &#x0D; Research Scope: The study explores the construction of political identity on social media, particularly through hashtag movements on Instagram related to the 2024 presidential candidate in Indonesia, Anies Baswedan, and the "#kadrun" hashtag.&#x0D; &#x0D; &#x0D; Framing Analysis: Utilizing the framing analysis method by Zhong Dang Pan and Gerald M. Kosicky, the research examines the structural dimensions of political identity content on Instagram, focusing on message characteristics and content design from October 3, 2022, to May 3, 2023.&#x0D; &#x0D; &#x0D; &#x0D; &#x0D; &#x0D; &#x0D; &#x0D; &#x0D; The hashtag spreads messages identifying Anies Baswedan as a radical Islamic group, causing potential religious-based political polarization, as seen in the 2019 Election. Additionally, ethnic elements now contribute to polarization based on religion, community, and ethnicity in the 2024 elections.&#x0D; &#x0D; &#x0D; &#x0D; &#x0D; &#x0D; &#x0D; &#x0D; &#x0D; Keyword: Political Identity, Social Media, Hashtag Movements, Instagram, Political Polarization.&#x0D; &#x0D; &#x0D; &#x0D; &#x0D; &#x0D;

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