Abstract

ObjectiveThe objective was to evaluate the prognostic performance of a new biomarker, plasma bioactive adrenomedullin (bio-ADM), for short-term clinical outcomes in acute heart failure. MethodsA multicenter prospective cohort study of adult emergency department (ED) patients suspected of having acute heart failure was conducted to evaluate the association between plasma bio-ADM concentration and clinical outcomes. The primary outcome was a composite of the following within 30 days: death, cardiac arrest with resuscitation, respiratory failure, emergency dialysis, acute coronary syndrome, hospitalization >5 days, and repeat ED visit or hospitalization. Prognostic accuracy was evaluated with a nonparametric receiver operating characteristic curve. In addition, a multivariable logistic regression model was constructed to assess the additive prognostic performance of bio-ADM while adjusting for other biomarkers routinely used clinically, including B-type natriuretic peptide, cardiac troponin I, creatinine, and sodium concentration. ResultsTwo hundred forty-six patients were enrolled, including 85 (34.6%) patients with the primary outcome. Plasma bio-ADM concentrations were higher among patients who experienced the primary outcome (median, 80.5 pg/mL; interquartile range [IQR], 53.7-151.5 pg/mL) compared with those who did not (median, 54.4 pg/mL; IQR, 43.4-78.4 pg/mL) (P < .01). Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.70 (95% confidence interval, 0.63-0.75). After adjusting for the other biomarkers, plasma bio-ADM remained a strong predictor of the primary outcome (adjusted odds ratio per IQR change, 2.68; 95% confidence interval, 1.60-4.51). ConclusionsBioactive adrenomedullin concentrations at the time of ED evaluation for acute heart failure were predictive of clinically important 30-day outcomes, suggesting that bio-ADM is a promising prognostic marker for further study.

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