Peace Economics, Peace Science and Public Policy

David J. Caswell (“ Analysis of National Strategies to Counter a Country's Nuclear Weapons Program ”) is an officer in the U.S. Air Force and a research affiliate with the Center for International Security and Cooperation at Stanford University. David has served in various positions ranging from operational simulation development to operations analysis for national intelligence. He currently serves as an operations analyst in support of regional air and space employment in the Pacific. David received his Ph.D. in management science and engineering at Stanford University. His current research continues to apply computer science and operations research methods for gaining insights for nuclear policy and other international security issues. Address: http://www.stanford.edu/group/ERRG/davidc1.htm ; e-mail: david.caswell33@gmail.com . Kjell Hausken (“ Governments' and Terrorists' Defense and Attack in a T-Period Game ”) has since 1999 been a professor of economics and societal safety at the University of Stavanger, Norway. His research fields are strategic interaction, risk analysis, reliability, conflict, and terrorism. He holds a Ph.D. (thesis: “Dynamic Multilevel Game Theory”) from the University of Chicago (1990–1994), and was a postdoc at the Max Planck Institute for the Studies of Societies (Cologne) from 1995 to 1998 and a visiting scholar at Yale School of Management from 1989 to 1990. He holds a doctorate program degree in administration from the Norwegian School of Economics and Business Administration, and an M.Sc. degree in electrical engineering from the Norwegian Institute of Technology. He completed military service at the Norwegian Defence Research Establishment, has published 110 articles, and is on the editorial board for Theory and Decision and Defence and Peace Economics. Address: Faculty of Social Sciences, University of Stavanger, N-4036 Stavanger, Norway; e-mail: kjell.hausken@uis.no . Ronald A. Howard (“ Analysis of National Strategies to Counter a Country's Nuclear Weapons Program ”) is a professor of management science and engineering in the School of Engineering at Stanford University. Professor Howard directs teaching and research in the Decision Analysis Program of the department, and is the director of the Decisions and Ethics Center, which examines the efficacy and ethics of social arrangements. He defined the profession of decision analysis in 1964 and has supervised more than 80 doctoral theses in decision analysis and related areas. His experience includes dozens of decision analysis projects that range over virtually all fields of application, from investment planning to research strategy, and from hurricane seeding to nuclear waste isolation. He has been a consultant to several companies and was a founding director and chairman of Strategic Decisions Group. He is president of the Decision Education Foundation, which he and colleagues founded to teach decision skills to young people. He has written four books, dozens of technical papers, and provided editorial service to seven technical journals. His society affiliations have included the Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (Fellow); The Institute of Management Sciences, which he served as president, and the Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences (INFORMS) (Fellow). Continuing research interests are improving the quality of decisions, life-and-death decision making, and the creation of a coercion-free society. In 1986 he received the Frank P. Ramsey Medal “for Distinguished Contributions in Decision Analysis” from the Decision Analysis Special Interest Group of the Operations Research Society of America (the predecessor to the Decision Analysis Society of INFORMS). In 1998 he received from INFORMS the first award for the Teaching of Operations Research/Management Science Practice. In 1999 he was elected to the National Academy of Engineering. Address: Management Science and Engineering, Huang Engineering Center, 475 Via Ortega, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305-4121; e-mail: rhoward@stanford.edu . Joseph B. (“Jay”) Kadane (“ Partial-Kelly Strategies and Expected Utility: Small Edge Asymptotics ”) is Leonard J. Savage University Professor of Statistics and Social Sciences, Emeritus, at Carnegie Mellon University. He received a B.S. in mathematics from Harvard and a Ph.D. in statistics from Stanford. He was recently elected to the American Academy of Arts and Sciences. His theoretical interests center on subjective Bayesian theory. His current applied interests include Internet security, medicine, law, physics, marketing, and air pollution. He serves as an expert witness in legal cases. His most recent book is Principles of Uncertainty, which is scheduled to be released in May 2011 by Chapman and Hall and will be available free on the Web for any noncommercial purpose. Address: Department of Statistics, Carnegie Mellon University, 5000 Forbes Avenue, Pittsburgh, PA 15213; e-mail: kadane@stat.cmu.edu . Konstantinos V. Katsikopoulos (“ Psychological Heuristics for Making Inferences: Definition, Performance, and the Emerging Theory and Practice ”) holds a Ph.D. in industrial engineering and operations research from the University of Massachusetts Amherst and is currently a senior research scientist at the Center for Adaptive Behavior and Cognition of the Max Planck Institute for Human Development. He has been a visiting assistant professor of operations research at the Naval Postgraduate School and of systems engineering at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology. He has made contributions to the theory of bounded rationality and its applications to decisions “in the wild” in fields such as engineering design and medicine. Address: Max Planck Institute for Human Development, Lentzeallee 94, 14195 Berlin, Germany; e-mail: katsikop@mpib-berlin.mpg.de . L. Robin Keller (“ Investment and Defense Strategies, Heuristics, and Games: From the Editor … ”) is a professor of operations and decision technologies in the Merage School of Business at the University of California, Irvine. She received her Ph.D. and M.B.A. in management science and her B.A. in mathematics from the University of California, Los Angeles. She has served as a program director for the Decision, Risk, and Management Science Program of the U.S. National Science Foundation (NSF). Her research is on decision analysis and risk analysis for business and policy decisions and has been funded by NSF and the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency. Her research interests cover multiple attribute decision making, riskiness, fairness, probability judgments, ambiguity of probabilities or outcomes, risk analysis (for terrorism, environmental, health, and safety risks), time preferences, problem structuring, cross-cultural decisions, and medical decision making. She is currently Editor-in-Chief of Decision Analysis, published by the Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences (INFORMS). She is a Fellow of INFORMS and has held numerous roles in INFORMS, including board member and chair of the INFORMS Decision Analysis Society. She is a recipient of the George F. Kimball Medal from INFORMS. She has served as the decision analyst on three National Academy of Sciences committees. Address: The Paul Merage School of Business, University of California, Irvine, Irvine, CA 92697-3125; e-mail: lrkeller@uci.edu . Jeryl L. Mumpower (“ Playing Squash Against Ralph Keeney: Should Weaker Players Always Prefer Shorter Games? ”) is Director of the Master of Public Service and Administration Program at the Bush School of Government and Public Service at Texas A&M University, where he holds the Joe R. and Teresa Lozano Long Chair in Business and Public Policy. Previously he was at the Nelson A. Rockefeller College of Public Affairs and Policy, State University of New York at Albany, where he was a professor of public administration, public policy, public health, and information science and served in a variety of University-level administrative positions. His previous experience includes six years as a program director and policy analyst at the National Science Foundation. Mumpower received his B.A. from the College of William and Mary and his Ph.D. in social and quantitative psychology from the University of Colorado, Boulder. He is author or editor of nine books and more than 50 book chapters and articles. His research has addressed basic and applied topics in negotiation and bargaining, environmental policy, individual and group decision-making processes, the use of scientific expertise in public policy making, and risk analysis and management. Address: Bush School of Government and Public Service, Texas A&M University, 1092 Allen Building, 4220 TAMU, College Station, TX 77843-4220; e-mail: jmumpower@bushschool.tamu.edu . M. Elisabeth Paté-Cornell (“ Analysis of National Strategies to Counter a Country's Nuclear Weapons Program ”) is the Burt and Deedee McMurtry Professor and Chair, Department of Management Science and Engineering at Stanford University. Her specialty is engineering risk analysis with application to complex systems (including space systems and medical systems). Her research has focused on explicit consideration of human and organizational factors in the analysis of failure risks and, recently, on the use of game theory in risk analysis. Applications in the last few years have included counterterrorism and nuclear counterproliferation problems. She is a member of the National Academy of Engineering and of several boards (Aerospace, Draper, InQtel, etc.). She was a member of the President's Intelligence Advisory Board until December 2008. She holds an engineer degree (Applied Math/CS) from the Institut Polytechnique de Grenoble (France), and an M.S. in Operations Research and a Ph.D. in Eng

A study of the impact of military expenditures on economic growth and development examines the differences in the results of previous studies which led to contradictory conclusions. The authors find that these differences are due to sample variations, specificational choices, and the different time periods examined. The data indicate that there is no consistent, statistically significant connection between military spending and economic growth. Augmentation of the models suggests that military expenditures neither help nor hurt economic growth to any significant extent. 2 tables.

Walter Isard passed away on November 6, 2010. Walter Isard (1919-2010) was Professor Emeritus of Economics and Regional Science at the Cornell University. Walter's contribution to science is widely acknowledged. He pioneered the fields of both regional science and peace science. Walter was a founder in 1954 of the Regional Science Association. He was also one of the founders of the Peace Research Society in 1963, renamed as the Peace Science Society (International) in 1973.He had founded Peace Economics, Peace Science and Public Policy in 1993 in order to further research in Peace Economics and Peace Science, and to disseminate peace methods and analysis to a wider audience. His commitment and efforts for PEPS have been intense and tireless. We all owe to him a great debt of gratitude for having developed and sustained this journal. His benevolent character and his goodness of heart were not inferior to his science. The whole peace research community will miss him.

Article Fifth Walter Isard Annual Award for the Best Article in Peace Economics Peace Science and Public Policy was published on February 1, 2022 in the journal Peace Economics, Peace Science and Public Policy (volume 28, issue 1).

Article 4th Walter Isard Annual Award for the Best Article in Peace Economics Peace Science and Public Policy was published on February 1, 2021 in the journal Peace Economics, Peace Science and Public Policy (volume 27, issue 1).

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The Costs and Returns of Human Migration

The Pure Theory of Government Finance: A Suggested Approach

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About the Authors

Copyright c ©2002 by the authors. All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted, in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording, or otherwise, without the prior written permission of the publisher, bepress, which has been given certain exclusive rights by the author. Peace Economics, Peace Science and Public Policy is produced by Berkeley Electronic Press (bepress). http://www.bepress.com/peps

Scholars debate the effects of foreign direct investment (FDI) on poor societies. Apparently, FDI could embolden governments to securitize rather than reform, an argument put forth recently by (Kishi, Roudabeh, Maggio, Guiseppe, & Raleigh, Clionadh. (2017). Foreign investment and state conflicts in Africa.Peace Economics, Peace Science and Public Policy,23(3),https://doi.org/10.1515/peps-2017-0007) who supply evidence within a sample of Sub Saharan African countries showing that FDI increases the number of conflict events. This study takes a critical view of their argument on conceptual and methodological grounds. Using new data for the entire world as well as a sample of developing countries, this study directly tests securitization as militarization measured as military spending and the size of armed forces and finds that several alternative measurements of the stock and flow of FDI reduces militarization, results that are robust to fixed effects estimations, Heckman selection models, and models with and without controls for ongoing armed conflict and interstate tension. Testing an Africa-only sample yields no statistically significant effects either way, but compared to the global sample, an interaction of FDI in Africa does show a positive effect. This result, however, is substantively very slight compared with the net effect of the African region where military spending is unusually greater than in other regions, but size of armed forces are smaller. These results are replicated using a measure of societal security capturing more than just the absence of war as measured by the World Economic Forum’s data. If FDI increases security without increasing militarization, then FDI is potentially a sound source of finance for poor countries. Case-study-based research might usefully unpack the political economy of defence spending in Africa and identify precisely how TNCs can be implicated in the story. Our results show, however, that generally, FDI might actually reduce militarization while increasing societal security beyond just the absence of armed violence.

Previous article No AccessGlobal Social Transformation: The Sweet Spot, the Steady Slog, and the Systemic Shift*Barry B. HughesBarry B. HughesUniversity of Denver Search for more articles by this author University of DenverPDFPDF PLUS Add to favoritesDownload CitationTrack CitationsPermissionsReprints Share onFacebookTwitterLinkedInRedditEmail SectionsMoreDetailsFiguresReferencesCited by Economic Development and Cultural Change Volume 49, Number 2January 2001 Article DOIhttps://doi.org/10.1086/452510 Views: 21Total views on this site Citations: 12Citations are reported from Crossref © 2001 by The University of Chicago. All rights reserved.PDF download Crossref reports the following articles citing this article:Barry B. Hughes, Mohammod T. Irfan, José Solórzano, Vivian Yang, Jonathan D. Moyer Estimating current values of sustainable development goal indicators using an integrated assessment modeling platform: “Nowcasting” with International Futures, Statistical Journal of the IAOS 37, no.11 (Mar 2021): 293–307.https://doi.org/10.3233/SJI-200715Barry B. Hughes, Kanishka Narayan, Yangyang Xu Enhancing integrated analysis of national and global goal pursuit by endogenizing economic productivity, PLOS ONE 16, no.22 (Feb 2021): e0246797.https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0246797Barry B. Hughes Building a Global Model: The Toolkit, (Jan 2019): 7–32.https://doi.org/10.1016/B978-0-12-804271-7.00002-6Theodora-Ismene Gizelis Systematic Study of Gender, Conflict, and Peace, Peace Economics, Peace Science and Public Policy 24, no.44 (Oct 2018).https://doi.org/10.1515/peps-2018-0038Barry B. Hughes International Futures (IFs) and integrated, long-term forecasting of global transformations, Futures 81 (Aug 2016): 98–118.https://doi.org/10.1016/j.futures.2015.07.007Andrew Schrank Toward a New Economic Sociology of Development, Sociology of Development 1, no.22 (Jun 2015): 233–258.https://doi.org/10.1525/sod.2015.1.2.233Andrew Schrank Toward a New Economic Sociology of Development, Sociology of Development 1, no.22 (Jun 2015): 25–50.https://doi.org/10.1525/sod.2015.1.2.25Shirley Gregor, Ahmed Imran, Tim Turner A ‘sweet spot’ change strategy for a least developed country: leveraging e-Government in Bangladesh, European Journal of Information Systems 23, no.66 (Dec 2017): 655–671.https://doi.org/10.1057/ejis.2013.14Theodora-Ismene Gizelis, Nana Afua Pierre Gender Equality and Postconflict Reconstruction: What Do We Need to Know in Order to Make Gender Mainstreaming Work?, International Interactions 39, no.44 (Sep 2013): 601–611.https://doi.org/10.1080/03050629.2013.805324Theodora-Ismene Gizelis A Country of their Own: Women and Peacebuilding, Conflict Management and Peace Science 28, no.55 (Nov 2011): 522–542.https://doi.org/10.1177/0738894211418412Theodora-Ismene Gizelis Gender Empowerment and United Nations Peacebuilding, Journal of Peace Research 46, no.44 (Jun 2009): 505–523.https://doi.org/10.1177/0022343309334576Paul D. Senese Chinese Acquisition of the Spratly Archipelago and Its Implications for the Future, Conflict Management and Peace Science 22, no.11 (Jun 2016): 79–94.https://doi.org/10.1080/07388940590915336

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BackgroundThe use of a Community Advisory Board (CAB) is one method of ensuring community engagement in community based research. To identify the process used to constitute CABs in Zambia, this paper draws on the perspectives of both research team members and CAB members from research groups who used CABs in Lusaka. Enabling and restricting factors impacting on the functioning of the CAB were identified.MethodsAll studies approved by the University of Zambia Bioethics Research Committee (UBNZABREC) from 2008 – 2012 were reviewed to identify those studies that were likely to include a CAB. Eight teams with studies that included a CAB were identified. For each of these studies, consent was obtained to conduct an informal interview with a research team member and to obtain contact details for one CAB member. In total 14 interviews were conducted with 8 research team members and 6 CAB members from 12–30 August 2013.ResultsIdentification of potential CAB members from the community and their participation in developing the terms of reference for CABs was perceived to have contributed to the success of the CAB. Due to the trust that the community had in members of their community the CABs were then in a stronger position to influence community participation in the research. Training of CAB members was identified as a factor that enhanced the functioning of a CAB. Lack of commitment and low literacy levels of CAB members posed a threat to the role of the CAB. Although compensation in the form of a stipend was not provided, CAB members were provided with transport reimbursements for attending meetings.ConclusionsSelection of CAB members from within the community contributed to community confidence in the CAB, enhancing its ability to act as an effective link between study team and community. This contributed positively to the conduct of the study and enhanced community awareness and acceptance of the research. However, establishment of study specific CABs has the potential to compromise CAB independence due to support provided by the research team in the form of transport reimbursements and other forms of support. Consideration should be given to establishing community wide Community Advisory Boards that could function across a range of studies to increase independent objective decision-making.