Patterns of Agricultural Growth and Overall growth of Ugandan Economy

Abstract

This study aimed at establishing simple stylized facts on relationships between the share of agriculture and its subsectors in GDP and GDP per capita in Uganda. The study utilized both trend and regression analysis tools to achieve the study objective. Previous studies give evidence on what has come to be a stylized fact , that the share of agriculture in GPD falls as the GDP per capita of an economy increases. Our findings by both the trend and regression analysis confirm this stylized fact. However, when agriculture is disaggregated, the pattern that emerges is not consistent with previous studies. Whereas, the overall agriculture and the subsectors of agriculture such as food crops, livestock and forestry share in GDP falls as GDP per capita rises the fishing sector share in GDP does not exhibit a significant relationship with per capita income. The findings also show that whereas the share of non-monetary agriculture, non-monetary food crops, non-and monetary livestock share in GDP exhibit a negative relationship with GDP per capita income, the share in GDP of monetary agriculture, monetary food crops, cash crops, monetary and non monetary forestry and fishing exhibit no significant relationship with GDP per capita. Key words: Performance, Ugandan economy GDP, per capita, agriculture sector.