Parametrization identification and characterization of the radon priority areas for indoor radon risk management

Abstract

The aim of work is to contribute to the development of methodologies concerning the selection and characterisation of radon priority areas. The selection of areas was based on risk from indoor radon exposure, expressed in terms of number of expected deaths per year. Radon data come from a survey carried out in the Lazio Region (Italy) and consist of 5297 indoor concentration measurements. Population data were also used. Data showed that dwellings with concentrations above 300 Bq/m3, taken as reference level (RL), are not confined to specific areas, but rather spread out over the territory. An absolute risk model has been chosen to predict annual deaths on a regular grid of cells 2kmx2km sized. The analysis showed that 21.7% of the territory is completely uninhabited and that another 13.9% presents a marginal risk, quantifiable in total as less than one expected death per year. The remaining territory is of interest to identify the areas where dwellings with a concentration higher than the RL would be located. It was found that: such dwellings occur with different percentage in all the cells; exposed people varies from a few to almost 2000 per cell; indoor radon risk from exposure above RL is dominated by the number of exposed people and amounts to 106 deaths per year; the number of cells where a such risk is low is far greater than where the risk is high. These findings led to restrict RPA to the smallest set of cells that retained 85% of risk, i.e. 90 expected deaths per year. This percentage has been subjectively set because the technical and economic information required for its optimal calculation was not available. Based on this assumption, the RPA were identified by applying a threshold of 43 to the number of exposed people in each cell, in order to reach 85% of risk. The other main characteristics, also expressed as percentages of the corresponding totals within the area of interest, were found to be: extension 31.5% and exposed people 84%.