Abstract
A parallel model is given to forecast killer residence and place of crime. According to the circle cover method, we derive normal distribution of perpetrators radius, and forecast the center coordinates of the greatest probability of offender accommodation. The parallel Markov model is formulated by using transition probability of two adjacent sites of crime commitment. After respectively calculating, we obtain the various probabilities of locations of the next crime and get their targets area. The results of example show our method can be used in practice to predict killer residence and place of next crime.
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