Abstract

Since the mid-19th century, the global atmospheric CO2 concentration (ACC) has increased dramatically due to the burning of fossil fuels. Because of unequal population growth and economic development among regions, the ACC increases possess strong spatial variability. Particularly, the increase in ACC has been larger in the mid-latitudes of the Northern Hemisphere (NH) than that at high- and low-latitudes. It is widely accepted that the ACC increase is the main reason for climate change, but the potential impacts of its spatial distribution on the climate system remain unclear. Therefore, we carried out two groups of 150-year experiments with the Community Earth System Model (CESM), using both spatially inhomogeneous (hereafter the SIC experiment) and homogenous (hereafter the SHC experiment) ACC increases in their settings. We found that the models’ divergences occurred over the NH mid-latitudes, the Arctic and the western part of the tropical Pacific. SHC overestimated (underestimated) climate warming over the Artic (mid-latitudes), which may be induced by the intensified westerly and weakened meridional heat exchange between mid- and high latitudes in the NH. Over the tropical Pacific, the overestimation of climate warming may be induced by intensified Walker circulation coupled with the La Niña climate mode. For the entire NH, relative to SIC, SHC overestimated the climate warming from 1850 to 1999 by ~10%. Meanwhile, the SHC experiment also overestimated the interannual variabilities in temperature and precipitation, resulting in more serious extreme events. These findings suggest that human contributions to climate warming and increased extreme events since the industrial revolution may be overestimated when using a spatially homogenous ACC.

Highlights

  • Since the mid-19th century, the global atmospheric CO2 concentration (ACC) has increased dramatically due to the burning of fossil fuels

  • It has been well accepted that the most important anthropogenic impact on global climate change is through greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, most of which is accounted for by CO2 derived from fossil fuel consumption

  • Stuecker et al.[10] reported that the degree of polar amplification depends strongly on the location of CO2 forcing, and the extrapolar forcing makes a negligible contribution to polar amplification, which suggests that different spatial distributions of the ACC may induce different climatic effects

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Summary

Introduction

Since the mid-19th century, the global atmospheric CO2 concentration (ACC) has increased dramatically due to the burning of fossil fuels. We performed one control experiment (hereafter CTL), which kept the ACC constant, and two groups of sensitive experiments (hereafter SIC and SHC, respectively), which focused on anthropogenic CO2 emissions to show the impacts of the anthropogenic ACC increase with spatial variability on climate change. Www.nature.com/scientificreports the increments over the three hot spots, which are western Europe, East Asia and North America, were higher by ~1 ppmv in SIC than those in SHC.

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Conclusion
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