Abstract

Genetic improvement is constrained by the long-term and cumulate nature of genetic improvement, by the economic rewards for making genetic change and by the variances and covariances among traits of interest. Genetic change is cumulate, so that small annual changes make substantial differences over time. This cumulate nature of genetic improvement dictates the importance of identifying long-term goals driven by robust economic signals and then adhering to them. The economic rewards for genetic improvement will ultimately determine the uptake and therefore the success of any breeding program. In developed countries the value of milk can be divided between the weight of water, fat and protein produced. Water generally has a negative value due the cost of handling, removal and disposal. Fat and protein have varying values depending on the market, but both will always have underlying positive values. Genetic variances and covariances among the aggregate composition traits, water, fat and protein, are such that simultaneous increase in the yield of all three is considerably easier than improvement of just one, or improvement of one while decreasing others. Selection for simultaneous increase of fat and protein percentage will also be successful, but at the price of not increasing fat and protein yield nearly as rapidly as when selecting directly on yield traits. In virtually all developed countries, the optimum selection goal will be for some combination of increased fat and protein yield that may lead to a gradual increase in the protein to fat ratio. Genetic polymorphisms in several protein genes have been associated with yield and with milk processing properties, but are unlikely to play more than a minor role in overall selection. There is some evidence of genetic variation in milk fat composition, but the level of variation and economic incentives for change mean that selection for milk fat composition is not worthwhile. Thus, with the exception of very slow changes in the water to fat to protein yield ratio, genetic improvement does not seem a particularly suitable route for altering milk composition.

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