Optimized Dispatch of Integrated Energy Systems in Parks Considering P2G-CCS-CHP Synergy Under Renewable Energy Uncertainty

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To enhance low-carbon economies within Park Integrated Energy Systems (PIES) while addressing the variability of wind power generation, an innovative optimization scheduling strategy is proposed, incorporating a reward-and-punishment ladder carbon trading mechanism. This method effectively mitigates the unpredictability of wind power output and integrates Power-to-Gas (P2G), Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS), and Combined Heat and Power (CHP) systems. This study develops a CHP model that combines P2G and CCS, focusing on electric-heat coupling characteristics and establishing constraints on P2G capacity, thereby significantly enhancing electric energy flexibility and reducing carbon emissions. The carbon allowance trading strategy is refined through the integration of reward and punishment coefficients, yielding a more effective trading model. To accurately capture wind power uncertainty, the research employs kernel density estimation and Copula theory to create a representative sequence of daily wind and photovoltaic power scenarios. The Dung Beetle Optimization (DBO) algorithm, augmented by Non-Dominated Sorting (NSDBO), is utilized to solve the resulting multi-objective model. Simulation results indicate that the proposed strategy increases the utilization rates of renewable energy in PIES by 28.86% and 19.85%, while achieving a reduction in total carbon emissions by 77.65% and a decrease in overall costs by 36.91%.