Abstract

Abstract We use a suite of cosmological zoom galaxy formation simulations and dust radiative transfer calculations to explore the use of the monochromatic 850 μm luminosity (L ν,850) as a molecular gas mass (M mol) estimator in galaxies between 0 < z < 9.5 for a broad range of masses. For our fiducial simulations, where we assume that the dust mass is linearly related to the metal mass, we find that empirical L ν,850–M mol calibrations accurately recover the molecular gas mass of our model galaxies and that the L ν,850-dependent calibration is preferred. We argue that the major driver of scatter in the L ν,850–M mol relation arises from variations in the molecular gas-to-dust mass ratio, rather than variations in the dust temperature, in agreement with the previous study of Liang et al. Emulating a realistic measurement strategy with ALMA observing bands that are dependent on the source redshift, we find that estimating S ν,850 from continuum emission at a different frequency contributes 10%–20% scatter to the L ν,850–M mol relation. This additional scatter arises from a combination of mismatches in assumed T dust and β values, as well as the fact that the SEDs are not single-temperature blackbodies. However, this observationally induced scatter is a subdominant source of uncertainty. Finally, we explore the impact of a dust prescription in which the dust-to-metals ratio varies with metallicity. Though the resulting mean dust temperatures are ∼50% higher, the dust mass is significantly decreased for low-metallicity halos. As a result, the observationally calibrated L ν,850–M mol relation holds for massive galaxies, independent of the dust model, but below L ν,850 ≲ 1028 erg s−1 (metallicities ) we expect that galaxies may deviate from literature observational calibrations by ≳0.5 dex.

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