Abstract

The intensity of use of motor vehicles and the range of the transport jobs performed change during the many-year operation of such vehicles. The changes are introduced in result of ongoing analyses of actual current vehicle operation costs, reliability, and performance characteristics. The changes in the vehicle operation process, taking place with vehicle’s age, were analysed on the grounds of the mileage of over 9 000 motor trucks. The analysis covered a 20-year period of vehicle operation. The analysis results were used to estimate the mathematical models that describe the basic characteristics of the mileage growth process, with changes in these characteristics as observed in the recent years along with an intensive development of the road transport in Poland. Models of vehicle mileage growth have been developed for seven categories of engine cubic capacity. The coefficients of model equations have been given and the accuracy of the mileage values calculated on these grounds has been comprehensively evaluated. The relative measures of the scatter in the mileage values obtained from these models do not exceed 12 % of the average values determined from experimental data. A procedure has been proposed that leads to evaluating the mileage growth process and is based on the experience having already been gained in this field. It has been shown that the mileage growth process is strongly related to the engine cubic capacity. The mileage growth process is an important source of information for the planning of vehicle operation, forecasting of costs, and estimating of exhaust emissions and energy consumption in the whole cycle of operation of motor vehicles by transport companies

Highlights

  • Evaluation of the process of mileage growth during the operation of motor trucks, in several categories of engine cubic capacity

  • The mileage growth process is an important source of information for the planning of vehicle operation, forecasting of costs, and estimating of exhaust emissions and energy consumption in the whole cycle of operation of motor vehicles by transport companies

  • The determination of the estimator evaluation indicators is the final step of the procedure, which was followed in practice at the evaluation of the process of growth in the motor truck mileage during the 20-year vehicle operation period

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Summary

Introduction and analysis of the current state of knowledge in this field

Motor trucks are selected according to the transport tasks planned. There are many factors of considerable importance for the vehicle selection, such as load capacity, unladen mass, fuel consumption, or engine cubic capacity. The vehicle mileage is taken into account in various ways to estimate e.g. insurance risk [6, 15], exhaust emissions [1, 5, 12, 27], or costs of fuel, tyres, or spare parts [16, 23] The publications concerning this subject matter are predominantly dedicated to the intensity of use of motor cars [5, 6, 9, 12, 23]. The high intensity of motor truck operation determines the rate of replacement of the fleet of such vehicles in Poland.

Characterization of the dataset
Procedure of evaluation of the mileage growth process
Example implementation of the procedure developed
Estimation of the mileage growth models
Findings
Recapitulation and conclusions

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