Occupational routine intensity and the costs of job loss: evidence from mass layoffs

Abstract

This paper examines if workers face larger costs from losing their job in a mass layoff whether they were employed in routine-intensive occupations as technological change erodes their employment perspectives outside of their original job. We use worker-level data on mass layoffs in Germany between 1980 and 2010 and provide evidence that workers who were employed in more routine-intensive occupations indeed suffer larger and more persistent earnings losses. We find that earnings losses are primarily due to a reduction in the number of days in employment, suggesting that routine-intensive workers face considerable difficulties in coping with job loss. The additional displacement costs associated with routine intensity have increased over time.