Abstract

FGF23 (fibroblast growth factor 23) is associated with a higher mortality risk in type 2 diabetes, but the mechanism is unclear. We aimed to study whether NT-proBNP (N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide) mediates the association between FGF23 and mortality. We analyzed C-terminal FGF23 and NT-proBNP levels in 399 patients with type 2 diabetes. Cox regression analyses were performed, followed by mediation analyses using Structural Equation Modeling. During follow-up of 9.2 [7.6-11.3] years, 117 individuals died. FGF23 was associated with all-cause mortality, independent of potential confounders (fully adjusted hazard ratio [HR], 2.32 [95% CI, 1.21-4.43], P=0.01). The association was lost upon further adjustment for NT-proBNP (HR, 1.84; 95% CI, 0.91-3.73). NT-proBNP accounted for 26% of the mediation effect between FGF23 and all-cause mortality. These findings suggest that a higher FGF23 level is associated with increased mortality in individuals with type 2 diabetes through an effect on volume homeostasis.

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