Abstract

Background: Right ventricular dysfunction is a major determinant of outcome in pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH). We aimed to identify echocardiographic right heart parameters associated with adverse outcome and to develop a non-invasive, echocardiography-based risk score for PAH patients. Methods and Results: In 254 PAH patients we analyzed functional status, laboratory results, and echocardiographic parameters. We included these parameters to estimate all-cause death or lung transplantation using Cox regression models. The analyses included a conventional model using guideline-recommended variables and an extended echocardiographic model. Based on the final model a 12-point risk score was derived, indicating the association with the primary outcome within five years. During a median follow-up time of 4.2 years 74 patients died or underwent lung transplantation. The conventional model resulted in a C-Index of 0.539, whereas the extended echocardiographic model improved the discrimination (C-index 0.639, p-value 0.017). Ultimately, the newly developed risk score included WHO functional class, 6-min walking distance, N-terminal brain natriuretic peptide concentrations, pericardial effusion, right atrial area, tricuspid annular plane systolic excursion, and fractional area change. Conclusion: Integrating right heart function assessed by echocardiography improves prediction of death or lung transplantation in PAH patients. Independent validation of this finding is warranted.

Highlights

  • Most patients were in WHO functional class III or IV and had a severely reduced 6-min walk distance (6MWD) (269.2 m, standard deviation (SD) ± 183.9)

  • In this heterogenous but contemporary pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) cohort, we were able to confirm the predictive value of recognized clinical variables such as 6MWD, WHO functional class, and NT-proBNP levels [1], and identify less established variables like renal impairment and DLCO as predictors for adverse outcome in PAH

  • Similar to Sachdev and colleagues, we found a median Right ventricular (RV) free wall strain of −14.0%

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Summary

Introduction

The 2015 ESC/ERS guidelines for pulmonary hypertension (PH) introduced a risk evaluation tool to predict mortality at one year, allowing a classification of individuals in low (10%) categories [1]. Risk estimation in this model is based on clinical deterioration, functional lung capacity, brain natriuretic peptide (BNP), or. Methods and Results: In 254 PAH patients we analyzed functional status, laboratory results, and echocardiographic parameters We included these parameters to estimate all-cause death or lung transplantation using Cox regression models. Conclusion: Integrating right heart function assessed by echocardiography improves prediction of death or lung transplantation in PAH patients

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