Abstract
AbstractThis chapter describes a framework for macroeconometric modelling, which draws out the links with economic theory relating to the long run and with theory relating to the short run. It elaborates a modelling strategy that can be employed to accommodate directly the theory of the long run, and notes the ways in which short-run theory can also be accommodated in national and global models. Recent literature on modelling short-run dynamics is reviewed, highlighting the difficulties in obtaining consensus on appropriate short-run restrictions and commenting on the approaches taken in the literature in examining policy shocks in general, and monetary policy in particular.
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