Abstract
It was announced by Chinese government at the Copenhagen Conference that there would be 40-45% mitigation of the 2005 level intensity of carbon by 2020. Every industry in China is preparing to realize this national reduction target. A lot of work have been tried to achieve low-carbon development in different industries, but relatively little work has linked lowcarbon development to municipal solid waste management(MSWM). This article focuses on how to develop low-carbon MSWM using a quantitative approach. Firstly, the MSWM system including some mutual influence factors is investigated and some historical data are given in support for the research of their quantitative relationship. Secondly, a differential dynamic system model with fuzzy coefficients is proposed to predict waste amount, disposal cost, energy consumption and carbon intensity. Finally, an application to Chengdu in southwestern China, as a representative of a developed city, is presented to show the trend of MSWM in a low-carbon economy and prove the effectiveness of the proposed model.
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