Abstract
Research background: Given the fact that multinational banks’ credit activity leads to the accumulation of external debt in the borrowing countries, which potentially contributes to the formation of a debt-type economy, more in-depth research of the scope and consequences of such impact on the example of specific recipients is required. Purpose of the article: The purpose of the article is to develop theoretical and methodological bases of the study of multinational banks’ lending activity in terms of debt-type economy on the example of the countries of Central and Eastern Europe. Methods: A system of general scientific and special research methods, namely, statistical (correlation analysis, in particular), structural-functional and comparative analysis, has been applied to achieve the above-mentioned purpose. Findings & Value added: The results of the study indicate that multinational banks’ direct cross-border lending remains an important source of external debt accumulation and the formation of a debt-type economy in the countries of Central and Eastern Europe. Based on the assessment of the external debt indicators of the countries under the study, it has been determined that they all can be classified as debt-type economies. At the same time, the countries of the group still remain significantly differentiated in terms of relative indicators of direct cross-border lending and external debt. It has been concluded that multinational banks’ aggressive lending strategy during the growth phase in the countries of Central and Eastern Europe has exacerbated the problem of external indebtedness during the recession phase.
Highlights
The global expansion of multinational banks (MNBs), which are the main intermediaries in the global debt capital market, their aggressive credit strategies cause the accumulation of external debt in the borrowing countries, potentially contributing to the formation of a debt-type economy
The analysis of the current level of external debt of the Central and Eastern Europe (CEE) countries shows that they all can be classified as debt-type economies, with the ratio of external debt to GDP in 2018 ranged from 49% to 79% in Bulgaria, Poland, Romania, Estonia and Lithuania, and from 82% to 121% in Latvia, Slovakia, Slovenia, Hungary and Czech Republic, as illustrated in Figure 1. 150
The region repeats global trend to reorientation from direct cross-border lending to indirect lending, which has resulted in reducing the level of external debt, which is formed by MNBs’ direct cross-border loans
Summary
The global expansion of multinational banks (MNBs), which are the main intermediaries in the global debt capital market, their aggressive credit strategies cause the accumulation of external debt in the borrowing countries, potentially contributing to the formation of a debt-type economy. The debt-type economy is characterized by increased risks of the external debt crisis in borrowing countries, which in the context of the global spread of debt accumulation problems may trigger a systemic financial crisis worldwide. In this regard, conducting the research aimed at developing the theoretical and methodological foundations of the study of credit activities of MNBs amidst a debt-type economy and substantiation of scientific and practical recommendations for improving the credit regulation of MNBs to minimize its negative impact on external debt and formation of debt-type economy in the borrowing countries, is relevant and appropriate. The purpose of our research is to develop theoretical and methodological bases of study of MNBs’ lending activity in terms of debt-type economy on the example of the countries of Central and Eastern Europe (CEE)
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