Multi-objective predictive maintenance scheduling models integrating remaining useful life prediction and maintenance decisions

Abstract

This paper presents two novel data-driven multi-objective predictive maintenance scheduling models that integrate remaining useful life (RUL) prediction into maintenance planning. First, we propose a deep learning ensemble model that includes a convolutional neural network and bidirectional long short-term memory network with a temporal self-attentional mechanism and Bayesian optimization method to predict system RUL effectively. Then, two novel multi-objective mixed-integer linear programming (MILP) models are developed based on the system-predicted RUL to deal with the system predictive maintenance problem, which aims to minimize the total maintenance completion time and maintenance-related costs simultaneously. To solve this problem, we design an iteration ϵ-constraint method to achieve Pareto solutions. Meanwhile, a fuzzy logic method is proposed to recommend a preferred Pareto solution for decision-makers. Finally, the aircraft engine C-MAPSS dataset from NASA validates that the effectiveness of the proposed data-driven multi-objective predictive maintenance scheduling models are effective. For the predictive maintenance of 20 aircraft engines, both the maintenance completion time and maintenance cost are reduced by more than 40%.