Abstract

Epilepsy is defined by the seemingly random occurrence of spontaneous seizures. The ability to anticipate seizures would enable preventative treatment strategies. A central but unresolved question concerns the relationship of seizure timing to fluctuating rates of interictal epileptiform discharges (here termed interictal epileptiform activity, IEA), a marker of brain irritability observed between seizures by electroencephalography (EEG). Here, in 37 subjects with an implanted brain stimulation device that detects IEA and seizures over years, we find that IEA oscillates with circadian and subject-specific multidien (multi-day) periods. Multidien periodicities, most commonly 20–30 days in duration, are robust and relatively stable for up to 10 years in men and women. We show that seizures occur preferentially during the rising phase of multidien IEA rhythms. Combining phase information from circadian and multidien IEA rhythms provides a novel biomarker for determining relative seizure risk with a large effect size in most subjects.

Highlights

  • Epilepsy is defined by the seemingly random occurrence of spontaneous seizures

  • We studied 37 subjects (22 males; age range 22–58) with epilepsy who had been implanted with the RNS System (Fig. 1a) for approved clinical indications

  • IEA is defined as hourly rates of detections of epileptiform discharges using subject-specific algorithms designed by clinicians (Supplementary Fig. 1a)

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Summary

Introduction

Epilepsy is defined by the seemingly random occurrence of spontaneous seizures. The ability to anticipate seizures would enable preventative treatment strategies. To monthly patterns in seizure occurrence have been described since antiquity[1] but only recently quantified, revealing circadian[2,3,4], and cluster organization[5,6] The existence of such patterns suggests that brain activity is regulated over long timescales. Despite recent progress in using features of interictal brain activity to forecast imminent seizures[7,8,9,10], controversy remains regarding the relationship between seizures and interictal epileptiform discharges (e.g., spike-waves, polyspikes, and fast oscillations)[11,12,13] The rate of these pathological discharges (here termed interictal epileptiform activity, IEA) fluctuates over time and may increase or decrease before seizures. Storage of raw EEG on the device is limited, but customizable algorithms are used to record hourly counts of epileptiform discharges (IEA) and timestamps of seizures These data sets are well-suited for analysis of IEA rhythms at long timescales. Specific circadian timing of seizures is more variable across subjects, but we show that, at the individual level, multidien and circadian IEA rhythms are codeterminants of seizure risk

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